What markets are included in the Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2025-01-10 20:00

Rayo Vallecano

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

66%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Celta Vigo

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

22%

29%

Over 2.5

66%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rayo Vallecano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Celta Vigo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rayo Vallecano

DWDWW

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 89%

32% +1.5 42%

11% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rayo Vallecano averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Celta Vigo averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

22%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

66%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Rayo Vallecano(A) 0 - 3 Celta Vigo Away

Sep 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Celta Vigo Draw

May 2025 Rayo Vallecano(A) 2 - 1 Celta Vigo Home

Jan 2025 Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Celta Vigo Home

Mar 2024 Rayo Vallecano(A) 0 - 0 Celta Vigo Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Rayo Vallecano — unbeaten run (home)4

Rayo Vallecano — scoring streak (home)0

Celta Vigo — winless run (away)0

Celta Vigo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rayo Vallecano Win (1)49%

Draw (X)22%

Celta Vigo Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 89%

32% +1.5 42%

11% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 11%

68% -1.5 58%

89% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rayo Vallecano — scored (home)1.26

Rayo Vallecano — conceded (home)1.37

Celta Vigo — scored (away)1.42

Celta Vigo — conceded (away)1.89

Model expected combined goals3.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

Rayo Vallecano — BTTS matches (home)68%

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (away)74%

Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.555%

Under 7.545%

Over 8.542%

Under 8.558%

Over 9.534%

Under 9.566%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rayo Vallecano (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.9

Celta Vigo (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rayo Vallecano

10 16 17 11 13

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Rayo Vallecano (home)

For2.3

Celta Vigo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Rayo Vallecano — total shots (home)15.7

Celta Vigo — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Rayo Vallecano — on target (home)5.6

Celta Vigo — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rayo Vallecano

Inside the box7.68

Outside the box5.87

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Player Shots Rayo Vallecano

Ó. Trejo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target5%

+1.5 On Target5%

Sergio Camello

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target9%

Sergi Guardiola

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

Pep Chavarría

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

Álvaro García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayo Vallecano xG (home)1.2

Celta Vigo xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

51.68% Possession 53.71%

Team Comparison Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo

79.29% Pass accuracy 84.66%

420.82 Passes per match 517.95

0.06 Goals prevented -0.14

13.74 Fouls committed 12.16

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.42

2.26 Offsides 1.86

16.68 Tackles per match 14.68

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction analysis

Review Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights