What markets are included in the Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe

Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-01-02 20:00

Rayo Vallecano

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

27%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Getafe

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

31%

19%

Under 2.5

73%

BTTS No

68%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Rayo Vallecano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Getafe (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate26%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rayo Vallecano

WWDDW

Getafe

WLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 53%

26% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 26%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.

Rayo Vallecano averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

31%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

27%

BTTS Yes

32%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Rayo Vallecano(A) 2 - 0 Getafe Home

Jan 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Getafe Draw

May 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Getafe Home

Aug 2024 Rayo Vallecano(A) 0 - 0 Getafe Draw

Apr 2024 Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Getafe Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Rayo Vallecano — unbeaten run (home)9

Rayo Vallecano — scoring streak (home)12

Getafe — winless run (away)2

Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rayo Vallecano Win (1)49%

Draw (X)31%

Getafe Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 53%

26% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 47%

74% -1.5 79%

84% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rayo Vallecano — scored (home)1.26

Rayo Vallecano — conceded (home)0.79

Getafe — scored (away)0.74

Getafe — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals1.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%

No68%

Rate per Team

Rayo Vallecano — BTTS matches (home)53%

Getafe — BTTS matches (away)26%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.566%

Under 9.534%

Over 10.556%

Under 10.544%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rayo Vallecano (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.9

Getafe (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rayo Vallecano

5 14 6 10 15

Getafe

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Rayo Vallecano (home)

For2.2

Getafe (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Rayo Vallecano — total shots (home)16.5

Getafe — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Rayo Vallecano — on target (home)5.8

Getafe — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rayo Vallecano

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box6.21

Getafe

Inside the box5.58

Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Rayo Vallecano

Jorge de Frutos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target17%

Sergio Camello

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

Álvaro García

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ilias Akhomach

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Isi Palazón

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Getafe

M. Satriano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Vázquez

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

M. Arambarri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target8%

Borja Mayoral

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Adrian Liso

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayo Vallecano xG (home)1.39

Getafe xG (away)0.79

Average Possession

53.45% Possession 40.08%

Team Comparison Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe

81.66% Pass accuracy 68.08%

417.32 Passes per match 286.84

0.08 Goals prevented 0.08

13.45 Fouls committed 15.21

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.11

2.14 Offsides 2.39

18.18 Tackles per match 18.05

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction analysis

Review Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights