What markets are included in the Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe

Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-02 19:00

Rayo Vallecano

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Getafe

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

28%

40%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rayo Vallecano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Getafe (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rayo Vallecano

DWDWW

Getafe

LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 53%

32% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rayo Vallecano averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Rayo Vallecano(A) 2 - 0 Getafe Home

Jan 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Getafe Draw

May 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Getafe Home

Aug 2024 Rayo Vallecano(A) 0 - 0 Getafe Draw

Apr 2024 Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Getafe Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Rayo Vallecano — unbeaten run (home)4

Rayo Vallecano — scoring streak (home)0

Getafe — winless run (away)0

Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rayo Vallecano Win (1)32%

Draw (X)28%

Getafe Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 53%

32% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 47%

68% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rayo Vallecano — scored (home)1.26

Rayo Vallecano — conceded (home)1.37

Getafe — scored (away)1

Getafe — conceded (away)1.05

Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Rayo Vallecano — BTTS matches (home)68%

Getafe — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rayo Vallecano (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.9

Getafe (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rayo Vallecano

10 16 17 11 13

Getafe

10 8 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Rayo Vallecano (home)

For2.3

Getafe (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Rayo Vallecano — total shots (home)15.7

Getafe — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Rayo Vallecano — on target (home)5.6

Getafe — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rayo Vallecano

Inside the box7.68

Outside the box5.87

Getafe

Inside the box6.76

Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Rayo Vallecano

Ó. Trejo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target5%

+1.5 On Target5%

Sergio Camello

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target9%

Sergi Guardiola

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

Pep Chavarría

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

Álvaro García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

Diego Rico

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

B. Yıldırım

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Nyom

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target5%

M. Arambarri

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayo Vallecano xG (home)1.2

Getafe xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

51.68% Possession 41.24%

Team Comparison Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe

79.29% Pass accuracy 68.39%

420.82 Passes per match 293.32

0.06 Goals prevented 0.19

13.74 Fouls committed 15.84

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

2.26 Offsides 2.37

16.68 Tackles per match 16.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe prediction analysis

Review Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights