Prediction Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
La Liga
2025-05-15
17:00
Rayo Vallecano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Real Betis
Away
Prediction Summary
1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Rayo Vallecano (Home)
Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%
Real Betis (Away)
Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%
Team Form last 5 matches
Rayo Vallecano
DWDWW
Real Betis
DLDDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
74%
32%
+1.5
47%
11%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
68%
BTTS
68%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.
Rayo Vallecano averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Real Betis averages 1.32 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Rayo Vallecano(A)
1 - 1
Real Betis
Draw
Dec 2025
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
Real Betis
Draw
May 2025
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Real Betis
Draw
Dec 2024
Rayo Vallecano(A)
1 - 1
Real Betis
Draw
Mar 2024
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Real Betis
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Rayo Vallecano — unbeaten run (home)4
Rayo Vallecano — scoring streak (home)0
Real Betis — winless run (away)2
Real Betis — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Rayo Vallecano Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
Real Betis Win (2)38%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
74%
32%
+1.5
47%
11%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
26%
68%
-1.5
53%
89%
-2.5
89%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Rayo Vallecano — scored (home)1.26
Rayo Vallecano — conceded (home)1.37
Real Betis — scored (away)1.32
Real Betis — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.68
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Rayo Vallecano — BTTS matches (home)68%
Real Betis — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)68%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Rayo Vallecano (home)
Corners for5.7
Corners against3.9
Real Betis (away)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Rayo Vallecano
10
16
17
11
13
Real Betis
10
13
17
11
5
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Rayo Vallecano (home)
For2.3
Real Betis (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
Rayo Vallecano — total shots (home)15.7
Real Betis — total shots (away)11.8
Shots on Target
Rayo Vallecano — on target (home)5.6
Real Betis — on target (away)4.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Rayo Vallecano
Inside the box7.68
Outside the box5.87
Real Betis
Inside the box8.92
Outside the box4.97
Player Shots Rayo Vallecano
Ó. Trejo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
Sergio Camello
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target9%
Sergi Guardiola
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
Pep Chavarría
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
Álvaro García
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Real Betis
G. Lo Celso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target28%
Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Ezzalzouli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Vallecano xG (home)1.2
Real Betis xG (away)1.44
Average Possession
51.68%
Possession
52.53%
Team Comparison Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis
79.29%
Pass accuracy
82.97%
420.82
Passes per match
464.34
0.06
Goals prevented
0.03
13.74
Fouls committed
11.39
2.95
Goalkeeper saves
2.47
2.26
Offsides
1.56
16.68
Tackles per match
17.18
League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis prediction analysis
Review Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights