What markets are included in the Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-03-01 15:15

Rayo Vallecano

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

57%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Sevilla

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

24%

35%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rayo Vallecano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Sevilla (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rayo Vallecano

DWDWW

Sevilla

LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 42%

11% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rayo Vallecano averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Sevilla averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

24%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Rayo Vallecano(A) 1 - 1 Sevilla Draw

Sep 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Sevilla Away

Mar 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla Draw

Nov 2024 Rayo Vallecano(A) 0 - 1 Sevilla Away

Feb 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 2 Sevilla Away

In the last 5 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Rayo Vallecano — unbeaten run (home)4

Rayo Vallecano — scoring streak (home)0

Sevilla — winless run (away)5

Sevilla — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rayo Vallecano Win (1)41%

Draw (X)24%

Sevilla Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 42%

11% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 26%

68% -1.5 58%

89% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rayo Vallecano — scored (home)1.26

Rayo Vallecano — conceded (home)1.37

Sevilla — scored (away)1.32

Sevilla — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Rayo Vallecano — BTTS matches (home)68%

Sevilla — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rayo Vallecano (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.9

Sevilla (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rayo Vallecano

10 16 17 11 13

Sevilla

10 9 6 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Rayo Vallecano (home)

For2.3

Sevilla (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Rayo Vallecano — total shots (home)15.7

Sevilla — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Rayo Vallecano — on target (home)5.6

Sevilla — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rayo Vallecano

Inside the box7.68

Outside the box5.87

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Rayo Vallecano

Ó. Trejo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target5%

+1.5 On Target5%

Sergio Camello

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target9%

Sergi Guardiola

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

Pep Chavarría

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

Álvaro García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayo Vallecano xG (home)1.2

Sevilla xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

51.68% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

79.29% Pass accuracy 81.82%

420.82 Passes per match 432.63

0.06 Goals prevented -0.07

13.74 Fouls committed 13

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

2.26 Offsides 2.06

16.68 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla prediction analysis

Review Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights