Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2025-11-16
22:00
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Atletico-MG
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
27%
2
31%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
RB Bragantino (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%
Atletico-MG (Away)
Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate32%
Team Form last 5 matches
RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Atletico-MG
WLLDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
42%
37%
+1.5
16%
11%
+2.5
5%
11%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
32%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.
RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Atletico-MG averages 0.68 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
27%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Nov 2025
RB Bragantino
2 - 0
Atletico-MG
Home
Aug 2025
RB Bragantino(A)
1 - 2
Atletico-MG
Away
Sep 2024
RB Bragantino(A)
0 - 3
Atletico-MG
Away
Jun 2024
RB Bragantino
1 - 2
Atletico-MG
Away
Oct 2023
RB Bragantino
1 - 2
Atletico-MG
Away
In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Atletico-MG — winless run (away)2
Atletico-MG — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
RB Bragantino Win (1)42%
Draw (X)27%
Atletico-MG Win (2)31%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
42%
37%
+1.5
16%
11%
+2.5
5%
11%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
58%
63%
-1.5
84%
89%
-2.5
95%
89%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Atletico-MG — scored (away)0.68
Atletico-MG — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.43
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)39.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
RB Bragantino (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8
Atletico-MG (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against5.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
RB Bragantino
10
10
11
5
6
Atletico-MG
10
6
11
16
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1
Yellow Cards per Team
RB Bragantino (home)
For2.6
Atletico-MG (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Atletico-MG — total shots (away)12.5
Shots on Target
RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Atletico-MG — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
RB Bragantino
Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79
Atletico-MG
Inside the box8.32
Outside the box6.76
Player Shots RB Bragantino
Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Atletico-MG
Rony
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target29%
Hulk
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Cuello
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
João Marcelo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Guilherme Arana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Atletico-MG xG (away)1.09
Average Possession
47.82%
Possession
54.16%
Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG
81.68%
Pass accuracy
83.87%
390.63
Passes per match
451.13
0.01
Goals prevented
0.03
14.11
Fouls committed
13.24
3.53
Goalkeeper saves
2.92
1.46
Offsides
1.83
15.47
Tackles per match
15.45
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG prediction analysis
Review RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights