Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Bahia

RB Bragantino vs Bahia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-06-12 22:00
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
30%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Bahia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
29%
2
18%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Bahia (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Bahia
LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is Medium.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Bahia averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
29%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 2 Bahia Away
Jun 2025 RB Bragantino 0 - 3 Bahia Away
Sep 2024 RB Bragantino 2 - 1 Bahia Home
May 2024 RB Bragantino(A) 0 - 1 Bahia Away
Aug 2023 RB Bragantino(A) 0 - 4 Bahia Away

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Bahia — winless run (away)10
Bahia — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)52%
Draw (X)29%
Bahia Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 79%
89% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

RB Bragantino vs Bahia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Bahia — scored (away)0.89
Bahia — conceded (away)1.68
Model expected combined goals1.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%
No66%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Bahia — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Bahia (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Bahia
12 12 11 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Bahia (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Bahia — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Bahia — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Bahia

Inside the box8.42
Outside the box5.45

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Bahia

Willian José
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target18%
Erick Pulga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%
Ademir
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rodrigo Nestor
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Bahia xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 55.26%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Bahia

81.68% Pass accuracy 85.92%
390.63 Passes per match 468.39
0.01 Goals prevented -0.11
14.11 Fouls committed 12.32
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.92
1.46 Offsides 1.25
15.47 Tackles per match 15.87

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Bahia prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Bahia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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