Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Corinthians

RB Bragantino vs Corinthians prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-05 22:00
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Corinthians
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
27%
2
32%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Corinthians (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Corinthians
DLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 5%
11% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Corinthians averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
27%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 RB Bragantino 2 - 1 Corinthians Home
Jul 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 2 - 1 Corinthians Home
Aug 2024 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 1 Corinthians Draw
Apr 2024 RB Bragantino 1 - 0 Corinthians Home
Nov 2023 RB Bragantino 1 - 0 Corinthians Home

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Corinthians — winless run (away)3
Corinthians — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)41%
Draw (X)27%
Corinthians Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 5%
11% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 32%
63% -1.5 95%
89% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

RB Bragantino vs Corinthians — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Corinthians — scored (away)0.79
Corinthians — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.46

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Corinthians — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Corinthians (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Corinthians
9 12 12 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Corinthians (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Corinthians — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Corinthians — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Depay
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
Igor Coronado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gustavo Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vitinho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Corinthians xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 55.74%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Corinthians

81.68% Pass accuracy 84.82%
390.63 Passes per match 467.61
0.01 Goals prevented 0.03
14.11 Fouls committed 13.95
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.43
1.46 Offsides 1.79
15.47 Tackles per match 15.97

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Corinthians prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Corinthians with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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