Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Flamengo

RB Bragantino vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-24 00:30
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
33%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Flamengo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
30%
2
41%
Under 2.5
67%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Flamengo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Flamengo
DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 58%
11% +2.5 21%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
30%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 0 - 3 Flamengo Away
Jul 2025 RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Flamengo Away
Aug 2024 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 2 Flamengo Away
May 2024 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Flamengo Draw
Nov 2023 RB Bragantino(A) 0 - 1 Flamengo Away

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Flamengo — winless run (away)3
Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)28%
Draw (X)30%
Flamengo Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 58%
11% +2.5 21%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 42%
89% -2.5 79%
89% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

RB Bragantino vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Flamengo — scored (away)1.68
Flamengo — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.04

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Flamengo (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Flamengo
8 10 6 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Flamengo (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Flamengo — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
G. de Arrascaeta
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target12%
Bruno Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Samuel Lino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
Luiz Araújo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Flamengo xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 62.08%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Flamengo

81.68% Pass accuracy 88.34%
390.63 Passes per match 562.39
0.01 Goals prevented -0.02
14.11 Fouls committed 13.42
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.46 Offsides 1.24
15.47 Tackles per match 15.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Flamengo prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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