Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Fluminense

RB Bragantino vs Fluminense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-23 19:00
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Fluminense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
26%
2
35%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Fluminense (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Fluminense
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Fluminense averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
26%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 1 Fluminense Draw
Aug 2025 RB Bragantino 4 - 2 Fluminense Home
Apr 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 2 Fluminense Away
Jul 2024 RB Bragantino 0 - 1 Fluminense Away
Apr 2024 RB Bragantino(A) 2 - 2 Fluminense Draw

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Fluminense — winless run (away)0
Fluminense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)39%
Draw (X)26%
Fluminense Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%
63% -1.5 63%
89% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

RB Bragantino vs Fluminense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Fluminense — scored (away)1
Fluminense — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Fluminense — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Fluminense (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Fluminense
8 13 7 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Fluminense (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Fluminense — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Fluminense — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
G. Cano
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Canobbio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
John Kennedy
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Acosta
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Fluminense xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 52.92%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Fluminense

81.68% Pass accuracy 84.87%
390.63 Passes per match 468.34
0.01 Goals prevented -0.1
14.11 Fouls committed 12.84
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.51
1.46 Offsides 0.94
15.47 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Fluminense prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Fluminense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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