Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Fortaleza EC

RB Bragantino vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-26 22:00
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Fortaleza EC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
25%
2
28%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Fortaleza EC
LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 RB Bragantino 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC Away
Jul 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 3 Fortaleza EC Away
Aug 2024 RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away
Apr 2024 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC Draw
Nov 2023 RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1
Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)47%
Draw (X)25%
Fortaleza EC Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 26%
63% -1.5 79%
89% -2.5 89%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

RB Bragantino vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05
Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Fortaleza EC
12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box5.26

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target19%
Breno Lopes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Pochettino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
Deyverson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Fortaleza EC

81.68% Pass accuracy 79.24%
390.63 Passes per match 354.39
0.01 Goals prevented 0.01
14.11 Fouls committed 14.18
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.63
1.46 Offsides 2.06
15.47 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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