Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Santos

RB Bragantino vs Santos prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-28 21:30
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Santos
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Santos (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Santos
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Santos averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 RB Bragantino 2 - 2 Santos Draw
Apr 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 2 - 1 Santos Home
Oct 2023 RB Bragantino(A) 3 - 1 Santos Home
May 2023 RB Bragantino 2 - 0 Santos Home
Oct 2022 RB Bragantino 0 - 2 Santos Away

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Santos — winless run (away)0
Santos — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
Santos Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 63%
89% -2.5 89%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

RB Bragantino vs Santos — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Santos — scored (away)1.11
Santos — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Santos — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Santos (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Santos
12 5 12 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Santos (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Santos — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Santos — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Santos

Inside the box8.05
Outside the box5.13

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Santos

Neymar
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Guilherme
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target13%
Á. Barreal
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
B. Rollheiser
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
Victor Hugo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Santos xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 49.68%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Santos

81.68% Pass accuracy 82.87%
390.63 Passes per match 394.58
0.01 Goals prevented -0.02
14.11 Fouls committed 13.74
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.46 Offsides 1.68
15.47 Tackles per match 17.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Santos prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Santos with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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