Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo

RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-17 00:30
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sao Paulo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
30%
2
26%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Sao Paulo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Sao Paulo
LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 53%
37% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Sao Paulo averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
30%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 0 Sao Paulo Home
Jul 2025 RB Bragantino 2 - 2 Sao Paulo Draw
Nov 2024 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Sao Paulo Draw
Jul 2024 RB Bragantino(A) 0 - 2 Sao Paulo Away
Nov 2023 RB Bragantino(A) 0 - 1 Sao Paulo Away

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Sao Paulo — winless run (away)3
Sao Paulo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)44%
Draw (X)30%
Sao Paulo Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 53%
37% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 47%
63% -1.5 68%
89% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Sao Paulo — scored (away)0.84
Sao Paulo — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Sao Paulo (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Sao Paulo
9 11 7 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Sao Paulo (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Sao Paulo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Sao Paulo — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Tapia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Dinenno
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Ferreira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target4%
André Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Sao Paulo xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 52.13%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo

81.68% Pass accuracy 83.71%
390.63 Passes per match 438.63
0.01 Goals prevented 0.21
14.11 Fouls committed 14.24
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.21
1.46 Offsides 1.47
15.47 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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