Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Sport Recife

RB Bragantino vs Sport Recife prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-14 14:00
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sport Recife
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
26%
2
25%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Sport Recife (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Sport Recife
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 47%
37% +1.5 11%
11% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Sport Recife averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Sport Recife Draw
Apr 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 0 Sport Recife Home
Oct 2021 RB Bragantino 3 - 0 Sport Recife Home
Aug 2021 RB Bragantino(A) 0 - 0 Sport Recife Draw
Feb 2021 RB Bragantino(A) 0 - 0 Sport Recife Draw

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Sport Recife — winless run (away)10
Sport Recife — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Sport Recife Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 47%
37% +1.5 11%
11% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 53%
63% -1.5 89%
89% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

RB Bragantino vs Sport Recife — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Sport Recife — scored (away)0.58
Sport Recife — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Sport Recife — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Sport Recife (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Sport Recife
12 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Sport Recife (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Sport Recife — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Sport Recife — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.95

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Léo Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target25%
Chrystian Barletta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Ortíz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
I. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Sport Recife xG (away)0.97

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 46.24%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Sport Recife

81.68% Pass accuracy 81.37%
390.63 Passes per match 375.95
0.01 Goals prevented 0.15
14.11 Fouls committed 13.63
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
1.46 Offsides 1.84
15.47 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Sport Recife prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Sport Recife with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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