Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama

RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-26 21:30
RB Bragantino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Vasco DA Gama
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
25%
2
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

RB Bragantino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Vasco DA Gama
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 21%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

RB Bragantino averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
25%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 RB Bragantino 0 - 3 Vasco DA Gama Away
Jun 2025 RB Bragantino(A) 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home
Aug 2024 RB Bragantino(A) 2 - 2 Vasco DA Gama Draw
Apr 2024 RB Bragantino 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Home
Dec 2023 RB Bragantino(A) 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama Away

In the last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

RB Bragantino — unbeaten run (home)1
RB Bragantino — scoring streak (home)1
Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4
Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Bragantino Win (1)39%
Draw (X)25%
Vasco DA Gama Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 21%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%
63% -1.5 68%
89% -2.5 79%
89% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Bragantino — scored (home)1.42
RB Bragantino — conceded (home)1.26
Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26
Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (home)47%
Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Bragantino (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6
Vasco DA Gama
8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Bragantino (home)

For2.6

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

RB Bragantino — total shots (home)15.2
Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

RB Bragantino — on target (home)4.7
Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target38%
Philippe Coutinho
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Vegetti
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
Nuno Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Bragantino xG (home)1.16
Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

47.82% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama

81.68% Pass accuracy 86.47%
390.63 Passes per match 481
0.01 Goals prevented -0.15
14.11 Fouls committed 13.18
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.46 Offsides 0.81
15.47 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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