Prediction Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-08-29
13:30
RB Leipzig
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away
Prediction Summary
1
58%
X
21%
2
20%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
RB Leipzig (Home)
Goals scored / match2.35
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate65%
Borussia Mönchengladbach (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
LWLWW
Borussia Mönchengladbach
WLWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
65%
76%
+1.5
18%
29%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
0%
65%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
RB Leipzig averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
58%
Draw
21%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
Nov 2025
RB Leipzig(A)
0 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig(A)
0 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away
Nov 2024
RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw
Feb 2024
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
In the last 5 meetings, RB Leipzig won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
RB Leipzig — unbeaten run (home)7
RB Leipzig — scoring streak (home)17
Borussia Mönchengladbach — winless run (away)11
Borussia Mönchengladbach — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
RB Leipzig Win (1)58%
Draw (X)21%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
65%
76%
+1.5
18%
29%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
35%
24%
-1.5
82%
71%
-2.5
82%
88%
-3.5
94%
88%
-4.5
100%
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
RB Leipzig — scored (home)2.35
RB Leipzig — conceded (home)1.18
Borussia Mönchengladbach — scored (away)1.06
Borussia Mönchengladbach — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3.15
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
RB Leipzig — BTTS matches (home)65%
Borussia Mönchengladbach — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)56%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
RB Leipzig (home)
Corners for5.9
Corners against4.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
RB Leipzig
10
14
10
8
3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
6
13
2
5
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
RB Leipzig (home)
For1.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach (away)
For1.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.567%
Under 22.533%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.23
RB Leipzig
Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.562%
Expected shots15.75
On Target Over 3.582%
On Target Over 4.570%
On Target Over 5.556%
Expected on target6.25
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.48
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.05
Shots per Game
RB Leipzig — total shots (home)17.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
RB Leipzig — on target (home)7.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
RB Leipzig
Inside the box11.29
Outside the box4.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Inside the box7.71
Outside the box3.91
Player Shots RB Leipzig
C. Baumgartner
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rômulo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Diomande
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
B. Gruda
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Ouédraogo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target26%
Player Shots Borussia Mönchengladbach
H. Tabaković
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Hack
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Castrop
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Reitz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Diks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig xG (home)1.98
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG (away)1.26
Average Possession
53.88%
Possession
46.71%
Team Comparison RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
84.15%
Pass accuracy
81.47%
503
Passes per match
442.29
0.05
Goals prevented
0.16
9.26
Fouls committed
10.79
2.47
Goalkeeper saves
4
1.5
Offsides
1.94
15.12
Tackles per match
16.5
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction and preview
Preview RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights