What markets are included in the RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-01-14 19:30

RB Leipzig

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

69%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

SC Freiburg

Away

Prediction Summary

66%

18%

16%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

RB Leipzig (Home)

Goals scored / match2.35

Goals conceded / match1.18

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate65%

SC Freiburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match2.06

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

RB Leipzig

LWLWW

SC Freiburg

WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 53%

76% +1.5 35%

29% +2.5 12%

12% +3.5 6%

12% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

RB Leipzig averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while SC Freiburg averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

66%

Draw

18%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

61%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 RB Leipzig(A) 1 - 4 SC Freiburg Away

Jan 2026 RB Leipzig 2 - 0 SC Freiburg Home

Mar 2025 RB Leipzig(A) 0 - 0 SC Freiburg Draw

Oct 2024 RB Leipzig 3 - 1 SC Freiburg Home

Apr 2024 RB Leipzig(A) 4 - 1 SC Freiburg Home

In the last 5 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

RB Leipzig — unbeaten run (home)7

RB Leipzig — scoring streak (home)17

SC Freiburg — winless run (away)2

SC Freiburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

RB Leipzig Win (1)66%

Draw (X)18%

SC Freiburg Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 53%

76% +1.5 35%

29% +2.5 12%

12% +3.5 6%

12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 47%

24% -1.5 65%

71% -2.5 88%

88% -3.5 94%

88% -4.5 100%

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

RB Leipzig — scored (home)2.35

RB Leipzig — conceded (home)1.18

SC Freiburg — scored (away)1.06

SC Freiburg — conceded (away)2.06

Model expected combined goals3.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%

No39%

Rate per Team

RB Leipzig — BTTS matches (home)65%

SC Freiburg — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.580%

Under 5.520%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

RB Leipzig (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against4.5

SC Freiburg (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

RB Leipzig

10 14 10 8 3

SC Freiburg

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

RB Leipzig (home)

For1.4

SC Freiburg (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

RB Leipzig — total shots (home)17.3

SC Freiburg — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

RB Leipzig — on target (home)7.3

SC Freiburg — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

RB Leipzig

Inside the box11.29

Outside the box4.5

SC Freiburg

Inside the box8.38

Outside the box3.85

Player Shots RB Leipzig

C. Baumgartner

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target27%

Rômulo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target20%

Y. Diomande

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target21%

B. Gruda

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Ouédraogo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target26%

Player Shots SC Freiburg

I. Matanović

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target19%

Y. Suzuki

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target16%

J. Beste

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Manzambi

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target4%

L. Höler

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Leipzig xG (home)1.98

SC Freiburg xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

53.88% Possession 48%

Team Comparison RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg

84.15% Pass accuracy 80.06%

503 Passes per match 406.47

0.05 Goals prevented -0.1

9.26 Fouls committed 9.35

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.5 Offsides 2.06

15.12 Tackles per match 14.35

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg prediction analysis

Review RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights