Prediction Analysis: RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-05-17
13:30
RB Leipzig
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfB Stuttgart
Away
Prediction Summary
1
44%
X
23%
2
32%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
RB Leipzig (Home)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate65%
VfB Stuttgart (Away)
Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
LDDLD
VfB Stuttgart
WWWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
76%
65%
+1.5
53%
29%
+2.5
29%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
65%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
RB Leipzig averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while VfB Stuttgart averages 1.71 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
44%
Draw
23%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
RB Leipzig(A)
0 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
Away
Nov 2025
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
Home
May 2025
RB Leipzig
2 - 3
VfB Stuttgart
Away
Apr 2025
RB Leipzig(A)
1 - 3
VfB Stuttgart
Away
Jan 2025
RB Leipzig(A)
1 - 2
VfB Stuttgart
Away
In the last 5 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
RB Leipzig — unbeaten run (home)0
RB Leipzig — scoring streak (home)12
VfB Stuttgart — winless run (away)0
VfB Stuttgart — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
RB Leipzig Win (1)44%
Draw (X)23%
VfB Stuttgart Win (2)32%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
76%
65%
+1.5
53%
29%
+2.5
29%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
24%
35%
-1.5
47%
71%
-2.5
71%
88%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
100%
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
RB Leipzig — scored (home)1.94
RB Leipzig — conceded (home)1.35
VfB Stuttgart — scored (away)1.71
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.16
Both Teams To Score
Yes63%
No37%
Rate per Team
RB Leipzig — BTTS matches (home)65%
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)62%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
RB Leipzig (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against4.6
VfB Stuttgart (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
RB Leipzig
16
12
9
15
13
VfB Stuttgart
8
11
8
13
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
RB Leipzig (home)
For1.7
VfB Stuttgart (away)
For2.0
Shots per Game
RB Leipzig — total shots (home)12.9
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (away)11.2
Shots on Target
RB Leipzig — on target (home)5.3
VfB Stuttgart — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
RB Leipzig
Inside the box7.88
Outside the box4.12
VfB Stuttgart
Inside the box10.12
Outside the box3.71
Player Shots RB Leipzig
K. Kampl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Openda
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target30%
B. Šeško
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target27%
X. Simons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target16%
Y. Poulsen
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
Player Shots VfB Stuttgart
N. Woltemade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Millot
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target26%
E. Demirović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig xG (home)1.36
VfB Stuttgart xG (away)1.88
Average Possession
52.32%
Possession
57.5%
Team Comparison RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart
82.32%
Pass accuracy
84.82%
492.91
Passes per match
538.38
0.07
Goals prevented
0.04
11.06
Fouls committed
10.53
3.29
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
2.44
Offsides
1.88
15.82
Tackles per match
13.97
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart prediction analysis
Review RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights