Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Real Betis vs Celta Vigo

Real Betis vs Celta Vigo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-11-10 13:00
Real Betis
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Celta Vigo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
22%
2
19%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Real Betis (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Celta Vigo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Betis
DLDDW
Celta Vigo
WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 89%
47% +1.5 42%
11% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Real Betis averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Celta Vigo averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
22%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Real Betis 1 - 1 Celta Vigo Draw
Aug 2025 Real Betis(A) 1 - 1 Celta Vigo Draw
Feb 2025 Real Betis(A) 2 - 3 Celta Vigo Away
Nov 2024 Real Betis 2 - 2 Celta Vigo Draw
Apr 2024 Real Betis 2 - 1 Celta Vigo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Real Betis won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Real Betis — unbeaten run (home)3
Real Betis — scoring streak (home)19
Celta Vigo — winless run (away)0
Celta Vigo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Betis Win (1)59%
Draw (X)22%
Celta Vigo Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 89%
47% +1.5 42%
11% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 11%
53% -1.5 58%
89% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Real Betis vs Celta Vigo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Betis — scored (home)1.68
Real Betis — conceded (home)1.11
Celta Vigo — scored (away)1.42
Celta Vigo — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Real Betis — BTTS matches (home)74%
Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)74%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Betis (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.8

Celta Vigo (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Betis
10 13 17 11 5
Celta Vigo
10 9 15 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Betis (home)

For2.0

Celta Vigo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Real Betis — total shots (home)15.9
Celta Vigo — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Real Betis — on target (home)5.3
Celta Vigo — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Betis

Inside the box8.92
Outside the box4.97

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box4.11

Player Shots Real Betis

G. Lo Celso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target28%
Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Ezzalzouli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target10%
Borja Iglesias
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Iago Aspas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target23%
Alfon González
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Betis xG (home)1.44
Celta Vigo xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

52.53% Possession 53.71%

Team Comparison Real Betis vs Celta Vigo

82.97% Pass accuracy 84.66%
464.34 Passes per match 517.95
0.03 Goals prevented -0.14
11.39 Fouls committed 12.16
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.42
1.56 Offsides 1.86
17.18 Tackles per match 14.68

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Betis vs Celta Vigo prediction analysis

Review Real Betis vs Celta Vigo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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