Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Real Betis vs Real Sociedad

Real Betis vs Real Sociedad prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-08-21 19:00
Real Betis
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Real Sociedad
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Real Betis (Home)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Real Sociedad (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate79%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Betis
WLWDW
Real Sociedad
DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 84%
58% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 79%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Real Betis averages 1.79 goals scored at home, while Real Sociedad averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Real Betis(A) 2 - 2 Real Sociedad Draw
Sep 2025 Real Betis 3 - 1 Real Sociedad Home
Feb 2025 Real Betis 3 - 0 Real Sociedad Home
Dec 2024 Real Betis(A) 0 - 2 Real Sociedad Away
May 2024 Real Betis 0 - 2 Real Sociedad Away

In the last 5 meetings, Real Betis won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Real Betis — unbeaten run (home)11
Real Betis — scoring streak (home)4
Real Sociedad — winless run (away)6
Real Sociedad — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Betis Win (1)52%
Draw (X)24%
Real Sociedad Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 84%
58% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 16%
42% -1.5 79%
74% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Real Betis vs Real Sociedad — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Betis — scored (home)1.79
Real Betis — conceded (home)1
Real Sociedad — scored (away)1.16
Real Sociedad — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Real Betis — BTTS matches (home)58%
Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (away)79%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Betis (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.5

Real Sociedad (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Betis
9 7 9 10 12
Real Sociedad
6 7 9 5 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Betis (home)

For1.8

Real Sociedad (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.33

Real Betis

Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.553%
Expected shots14.60
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.86

Real Sociedad

Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.73
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.65

Shots per Game

Real Betis — total shots (home)15.9
Real Sociedad — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Real Betis — on target (home)5.3
Real Sociedad — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Betis

Inside the box8.34
Outside the box5.87

Real Sociedad

Inside the box7.61
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Real Betis

Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Ezzalzouli
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hernández
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target28%
C. Bakambu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
Pablo Fornals
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Real Sociedad

Mikel Oyarzabal
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
O. Óskarsson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target30%
Carlos Soler
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
Gonçalo Guedes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%
Brais Méndez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Betis xG (home)1.46
Real Sociedad xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

50.18% Possession 51.26%

Team Comparison Real Betis vs Real Sociedad

84.21% Pass accuracy 82.18%
470.45 Passes per match 448.13
-0.03 Goals prevented -0.08
10.63 Fouls committed 14.24
3.35 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.66 Offsides 2.43
17.24 Tackles per match 17.87

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Betis vs Real Sociedad prediction analysis

Review Real Betis vs Real Sociedad with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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