Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Real Betis vs Valladolid

Real Betis vs Valladolid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-24 19:30
Real Betis
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Valladolid
Away

Prediction Summary

1
67%
X
19%
2
15%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Real Betis (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Valladolid (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match3.05
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Betis
DLDDW
Valladolid
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 63%
47% +1.5 11%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Real Betis averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Valladolid averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
67%
Draw
19%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Real Betis 5 - 1 Valladolid Home
Jan 2025 Real Betis(A) 0 - 1 Valladolid Away
Feb 2023 Real Betis 2 - 1 Valladolid Home
Oct 2022 Real Betis(A) 0 - 0 Valladolid Draw
Jan 2022 Real Betis(A) 3 - 0 Valladolid Home

In the last 5 meetings, Real Betis won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Real Betis — unbeaten run (home)3
Real Betis — scoring streak (home)19
Valladolid — winless run (away)14
Valladolid — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Betis Win (1)67%
Draw (X)19%
Valladolid Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 63%
47% +1.5 11%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 37%
53% -1.5 89%
89% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Real Betis vs Valladolid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Betis — scored (home)1.68
Real Betis — conceded (home)1.11
Valladolid — scored (away)0.79
Valladolid — conceded (away)3.05
Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Real Betis — BTTS matches (home)74%
Valladolid — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Betis (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.8

Valladolid (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Betis
10 13 17 11 5
Valladolid
12 15 10 14 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Betis (home)

For2.0

Valladolid (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Real Betis — total shots (home)15.9
Valladolid — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

Real Betis — on target (home)5.3
Valladolid — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Betis

Inside the box8.92
Outside the box4.97

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66
Outside the box3.18

Player Shots Real Betis

G. Lo Celso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target28%
Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Ezzalzouli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Chuky San José
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Amallah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mario Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Kike Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Betis xG (home)1.44
Valladolid xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

52.53% Possession 42.63%

Team Comparison Real Betis vs Valladolid

82.97% Pass accuracy 79.47%
464.34 Passes per match 364.5
0.03 Goals prevented -0.4
11.39 Fouls committed 12.05
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
1.56 Offsides 1.76
17.18 Tackles per match 15.89

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Betis vs Valladolid prediction analysis

Review Real Betis vs Valladolid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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