Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Real Betis vs Villarreal

Real Betis vs Villarreal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-13 16:30
Real Betis
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Villarreal
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
34%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Real Betis (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Villarreal (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Betis
DLDDW
Villarreal
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 74%
47% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%
74% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Real Betis averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Villarreal averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Real Betis 2 - 0 Villarreal Home
Oct 2025 Real Betis(A) 2 - 2 Villarreal Draw
Apr 2025 Real Betis 1 - 2 Villarreal Away
Dec 2024 Real Betis(A) 2 - 1 Villarreal Home
Mar 2024 Real Betis 2 - 3 Villarreal Away

In the last 5 meetings, Real Betis won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Real Betis — unbeaten run (home)3
Real Betis — scoring streak (home)19
Villarreal — winless run (away)0
Villarreal — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Betis Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Villarreal Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 74%
47% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 26%
53% -1.5 47%
89% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 95%

Real Betis vs Villarreal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Betis — scored (home)1.68
Real Betis — conceded (home)1.11
Villarreal — scored (away)1.47
Villarreal — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Real Betis — BTTS matches (home)74%
Villarreal — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Betis (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.8

Villarreal (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Betis
10 13 17 11 5
Villarreal
10 8 9 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Betis (home)

For2.0

Villarreal (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Real Betis — total shots (home)15.9
Villarreal — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Real Betis — on target (home)5.3
Villarreal — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Betis

Inside the box8.92
Outside the box4.97

Villarreal

Inside the box10.32
Outside the box3.84

Player Shots Real Betis

G. Lo Celso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target28%
Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Ezzalzouli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Villarreal

Pau Cabanes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
Gerard Moreno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Danjuma
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Ayoze Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Barry
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Betis xG (home)1.44
Villarreal xG (away)1.74

Average Possession

52.53% Possession 47.55%

Team Comparison Real Betis vs Villarreal

82.97% Pass accuracy 82.89%
464.34 Passes per match 427.08
0.03 Goals prevented -0.22
11.39 Fouls committed 11.63
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.56 Offsides 2.2
17.18 Tackles per match 17.05

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Betis vs Villarreal prediction analysis

Review Real Betis vs Villarreal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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