What markets are included in the Real Madrid vs Getafe prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Real Madrid vs Getafe prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Real Madrid vs Getafe

Real Madrid vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-12-01 15:15

Real Madrid

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Getafe

Away

Prediction Summary

64%

22%

14%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Real Madrid (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate53%

Getafe (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Getafe

LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 53%

79% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Real Madrid averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

64%

Draw

22%

Away Win

14%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Real Madrid 0 - 1 Getafe Away

Oct 2025 Real Madrid(A) 1 - 0 Getafe Home

Apr 2025 Real Madrid(A) 1 - 0 Getafe Home

Dec 2024 Real Madrid 2 - 0 Getafe Home

Feb 2024 Real Madrid(A) 2 - 0 Getafe Home

In the last 5 meetings, Real Madrid won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Real Madrid — unbeaten run (home)4

Real Madrid — scoring streak (home)13

Getafe — winless run (away)0

Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Madrid Win (1)64%

Draw (X)22%

Getafe Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 53%

79% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 47%

21% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 89%

79% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Real Madrid vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Madrid — scored (home)2.37

Real Madrid — conceded (home)1

Getafe — scored (away)1

Getafe — conceded (away)1.05

Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Real Madrid — BTTS matches (home)53%

Getafe — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Madrid (home)

Corners for8.4

Corners against3.6

Getafe (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Madrid

10 12 26 8 15

Getafe

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Madrid (home)

For1.3

Getafe (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Real Madrid — total shots (home)19.3

Getafe — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Real Madrid — on target (home)7.6

Getafe — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Madrid

Inside the box10.61

Outside the box6.08

Getafe

Inside the box6.76

Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé

Shots on Target/Game2.8

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target79%

A. Güler

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target14%

Vinícius Júnior

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

Brahim Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Bellingham

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

Diego Rico

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

B. Yıldırım

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Nyom

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target5%

M. Arambarri

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Madrid xG (home)1.98

Getafe xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

60.42% Possession 41.24%

Team Comparison Real Madrid vs Getafe

89.42% Pass accuracy 68.39%

598.26 Passes per match 293.32

0.04 Goals prevented 0.19

8.74 Fouls committed 15.84

2.37 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

2.36 Offsides 2.37

15.42 Tackles per match 16.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Madrid vs Getafe prediction analysis

Review Real Madrid vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights