Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Real Madrid vs Real Betis

Real Madrid vs Real Betis prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-01-04 15:15
Real Madrid
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Real Betis
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
26%
2
25%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Real Madrid (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate58%

Real Betis (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate79%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Madrid
WWWLW
Real Betis
WLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 89%
79% +1.5 37%
37% +2.5 5%
26% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 79%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Real Madrid averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while Real Betis averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Real Madrid(A) 1 - 1 Real Betis Draw
Jan 2026 Real Madrid 5 - 1 Real Betis Home
Mar 2025 Real Madrid(A) 1 - 2 Real Betis Away
Sep 2024 Real Madrid 2 - 0 Real Betis Home
May 2024 Real Madrid 0 - 0 Real Betis Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Real Madrid — unbeaten run (home)6
Real Madrid — scoring streak (home)6
Real Betis — winless run (away)2
Real Betis — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Madrid Win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Real Betis Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 89%
79% +1.5 37%
37% +2.5 5%
26% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 11%
21% -1.5 63%
63% -2.5 95%
74% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Real Madrid vs Real Betis — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Madrid — scored (home)2.37
Real Madrid — conceded (home)0.84
Real Betis — scored (away)1.32
Real Betis — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Real Madrid — BTTS matches (home)58%
Real Betis — BTTS matches (away)79%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Madrid (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against3.0

Real Betis (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Madrid
11 12 9 8 3
Real Betis
9 7 9 10 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Madrid (home)

For2.1

Real Betis (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Real Madrid — total shots (home)19.0
Real Betis — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Real Madrid — on target (home)7.7
Real Betis — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Madrid

Inside the box11.13
Outside the box6.34

Real Betis

Inside the box8.34
Outside the box5.87

Player Shots Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target68%
Vinícius Júnior
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Bellingham
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target32%
F. Valverde
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%
Rodrygo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Real Betis

Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Ezzalzouli
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hernández
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target28%
C. Bakambu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
Pablo Fornals
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Madrid xG (home)2.05
Real Betis xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

59.39% Possession 50.18%

Team Comparison Real Madrid vs Real Betis

89.18% Pass accuracy 84.21%
587.05 Passes per match 470.45
0.02 Goals prevented -0.03
10 Fouls committed 10.63
2.26 Goalkeeper saves 3.35
2.23 Offsides 1.66
15.55 Tackles per match 17.24

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Madrid vs Real Betis prediction analysis

Review Real Madrid vs Real Betis with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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