What markets are included in the Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2024-12-22 15:15

Real Madrid

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

63%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Sevilla

Away

Prediction Summary

63%

20%

17%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Real Madrid (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate53%

Sevilla (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Sevilla

LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 74%

79% +1.5 42%

42% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Real Madrid averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while Sevilla averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

63%

Draw

20%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Real Madrid(A) 1 - 0 Sevilla Home

Dec 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 0 Sevilla Home

May 2025 Real Madrid(A) 2 - 0 Sevilla Home

Dec 2024 Real Madrid 4 - 2 Sevilla Home

Feb 2024 Real Madrid 1 - 0 Sevilla Home

In the last 5 meetings, Real Madrid won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Real Madrid — unbeaten run (home)4

Real Madrid — scoring streak (home)13

Sevilla — winless run (away)5

Sevilla — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Madrid Win (1)63%

Draw (X)20%

Sevilla Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 74%

79% +1.5 42%

42% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 26%

21% -1.5 58%

58% -2.5 89%

79% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Real Madrid vs Sevilla — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Madrid — scored (home)2.37

Real Madrid — conceded (home)1

Sevilla — scored (away)1.32

Sevilla — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Real Madrid — BTTS matches (home)53%

Sevilla — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Madrid (home)

Corners for8.4

Corners against3.6

Sevilla (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Madrid

10 12 26 8 15

Sevilla

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.569%

Under 2.531%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Madrid (home)

For1.3

Sevilla (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Real Madrid — total shots (home)19.3

Sevilla — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Real Madrid — on target (home)7.6

Sevilla — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Madrid

Inside the box10.61

Outside the box6.08

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé

Shots on Target/Game2.8

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target79%

A. Güler

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target14%

Vinícius Júnior

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

Brahim Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Bellingham

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Madrid xG (home)1.98

Sevilla xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

60.42% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Real Madrid vs Sevilla

89.42% Pass accuracy 81.82%

598.26 Passes per match 432.63

0.04 Goals prevented -0.07

8.74 Fouls committed 13

2.37 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

2.36 Offsides 2.06

15.42 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction analysis

Review Real Madrid vs Sevilla with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights