What markets are included in the Real Sociedad vs Ajax prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Real Sociedad vs Ajax prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Ajax

Real Sociedad vs Ajax prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

UEFA Europa League 2024-11-28 20:00

Real Sociedad

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Ajax

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

24%

41%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Real Sociedad (Home)

Goals scored / match2.33

Goals conceded / match0.83

Over 2.5 rate33%

BTTS rate50%

Ajax (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate33%

BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Sociedad

LDWWW

Ajax

LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 78%

67% +1.5 44%

33% +2.5 33%

17% +3.5 11%

17% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Real Sociedad averages 2.33 goals scored at home, while Ajax averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

24%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Ajax Home

In the last 1 meetings, Real Sociedad won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Real Sociedad — unbeaten run (home)5

Real Sociedad — scoring streak (home)6

Ajax — winless run (away)1

Ajax — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Sociedad Win (1)35%

Draw (X)24%

Ajax Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 78%

67% +1.5 44%

33% +2.5 33%

17% +3.5 11%

17% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 22%

33% -1.5 56%

67% -2.5 67%

83% -3.5 89%

83% -4.5 100%

Real Sociedad vs Ajax — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Sociedad — scored (home)2.33

Real Sociedad — conceded (home)0.83

Ajax — scored (away)1.67

Ajax — conceded (away)1.11

Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%

No38%

Rate per Team

Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (home)50%

Ajax — BTTS matches (away)44%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%

Under 4.516%

Over 5.578%

Under 5.522%

Over 6.572%

Under 6.528%

Over 7.564%

Under 7.536%

Over 8.542%

Under 8.558%

Over 9.528%

Under 9.572%

Over 10.522%

Under 10.578%

Expected total corners (blended average)7.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Sociedad (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against3.8

Ajax (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Sociedad

8 11 13 8 10

Ajax

12 10 13 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.575%

Under 2.525%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Sociedad (home)

For1.7

Ajax (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Real Sociedad — total shots (home)18.3

Ajax — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Real Sociedad — on target (home)6.8

Ajax — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Sociedad

Inside the box9.75

Outside the box4.58

Ajax

Inside the box8.67

Outside the box3.83

Player Shots Real Sociedad

Jon Ander Olasagasti

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

Mikel Oyarzabal

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

L. Sučić

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

U. Sadiq

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

S. Becker

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Ajax

O. Edvardsen

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

B. Brobbey

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

W. Weghorst

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

K. Hlynsson

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Godts

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Sociedad xG (home)1.86

Ajax xG (away)1.72

Average Possession

51% Possession 50.92%

Team Comparison Real Sociedad vs Ajax

80.58% Pass accuracy 82.58%

440.17 Passes per match 484

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.4

13.42 Fouls committed 13.46

2.58 Goalkeeper saves 3.31

1.27 Offsides 1.38

17.58 Tackles per match 19.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Sociedad vs Ajax prediction analysis

Review Real Sociedad vs Ajax with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights