Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-02-09 17:30
Real Sociedad
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Espanyol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
27%
2
21%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Real Sociedad (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Sociedad
LWLLD
Espanyol
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 63%
32% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
32% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Real Sociedad averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
27%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Real Sociedad(A) 1 - 1 Espanyol Draw
Aug 2025 Real Sociedad 2 - 2 Espanyol Draw
Feb 2025 Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Espanyol Home
Aug 2024 Real Sociedad(A) 1 - 0 Espanyol Home
Feb 2023 Real Sociedad(A) 3 - 2 Espanyol Home

In the last 5 meetings, Real Sociedad won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Real Sociedad — unbeaten run (home)1
Real Sociedad — scoring streak (home)1
Espanyol — winless run (away)4
Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Sociedad Win (1)53%
Draw (X)27%
Espanyol Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 63%
32% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 37%
68% -1.5 84%
84% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Sociedad — scored (home)1.05
Real Sociedad — conceded (home)1.05
Espanyol — scored (away)0.89
Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (home)32%
Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Sociedad (home)

Corners for6.7
Corners against3.7

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Sociedad
10 6 15 11 15
Espanyol
10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Sociedad (home)

For2.4

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Real Sociedad — total shots (home)12.1
Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Real Sociedad — on target (home)4.2
Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Sociedad

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box3.47

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79
Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Real Sociedad

A. Zakharyan
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
O. Óskarsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target4%
Mikel Oyarzabal
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target9%
Barrenetxea
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Becker
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Véliz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target4%
Edu Expósito
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%
L. Cabrera
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Sociedad xG (home)1.12
Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

54.08% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

81.21% Pass accuracy 76.58%
446.97 Passes per match 328.29
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.04
13.18 Fouls committed 13.11
2.55 Goalkeeper saves 3.82
2.16 Offsides 1.74
17.05 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Real Sociedad vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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