What markets are included in the Real Sociedad vs Girona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Real Sociedad vs Girona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Girona

Real Sociedad vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-12-12 20:00

Real Sociedad

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Girona

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

23%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Real Sociedad (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate79%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Sociedad

DLDDL

Girona

DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%

68% +1.5 21%

37% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

79% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Real Sociedad averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

23%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Real Sociedad(A) 1 - 1 Girona Draw

Dec 2025 Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Girona Away

May 2025 Real Sociedad 3 - 2 Girona Home

Oct 2024 Real Sociedad(A) 1 - 0 Girona Home

Feb 2024 Real Sociedad(A) 0 - 0 Girona Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Real Sociedad won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Real Sociedad — unbeaten run (home)0

Real Sociedad — scoring streak (home)2

Girona — winless run (away)9

Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Sociedad Win (1)54%

Draw (X)23%

Girona Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%

68% +1.5 21%

37% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%

32% -1.5 79%

63% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Real Sociedad vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Sociedad — scored (home)1.95

Real Sociedad — conceded (home)1.63

Girona — scored (away)0.95

Girona — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (home)79%

Girona — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Sociedad (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against4.5

Girona (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Sociedad

Girona

7 14 9 17 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Sociedad (home)

For2.2

Girona (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Real Sociedad — total shots (home)12.9

Girona — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Real Sociedad — on target (home)4.9

Girona — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Sociedad

Inside the box7.61

Outside the box4.74

Girona

Inside the box7.24

Outside the box3.95

Player Shots Real Sociedad

Mikel Oyarzabal

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target29%

O. Óskarsson

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target30%

Carlos Soler

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

Gonçalo Guedes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target19%

Brais Méndez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

V. Vanat

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target15%

V. Tsygankov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target6%

C. Stuani

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target10%

Joel Roca

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Sociedad xG (home)1.41

Girona xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

51.26% Possession 50.63%

Team Comparison Real Sociedad vs Girona

82.18% Pass accuracy 85.03%

448.13 Passes per match 467.16

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.22

14.24 Fouls committed 10.74

2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.35

2.43 Offsides 1.95

17.87 Tackles per match 15.42

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Sociedad vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Real Sociedad vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights