What markets are included in the Real Sociedad vs Girona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Real Sociedad vs Girona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Girona

Real Sociedad vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-18 17:00

Real Sociedad

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

36%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Girona

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

29%

28%

Under 2.5

64%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Real Sociedad (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate32%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Real Sociedad

LWLLD

Girona

LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 16%

16% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Real Sociedad averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

29%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

36%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Real Sociedad(A) 1 - 1 Girona Draw

Dec 2025 Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Girona Away

May 2025 Real Sociedad 3 - 2 Girona Home

Oct 2024 Real Sociedad(A) 1 - 0 Girona Home

Feb 2024 Real Sociedad(A) 0 - 0 Girona Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Real Sociedad won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Real Sociedad — unbeaten run (home)1

Real Sociedad — scoring streak (home)1

Girona — winless run (away)1

Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Real Sociedad Win (1)43%

Draw (X)29%

Girona Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 16%

16% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 26%

68% -1.5 84%

84% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Real Sociedad vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Real Sociedad — scored (home)1.05

Real Sociedad — conceded (home)1.05

Girona — scored (away)0.89

Girona — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (home)32%

Girona — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Real Sociedad (home)

Corners for6.7

Corners against3.7

Girona (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Real Sociedad

10 6 15 11 15

Girona

7 8 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Real Sociedad (home)

For2.4

Girona (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Real Sociedad — total shots (home)12.1

Girona — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Real Sociedad — on target (home)4.2

Girona — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Real Sociedad

Inside the box6.76

Outside the box3.47

Girona

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Real Sociedad

A. Zakharyan

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

O. Óskarsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Mikel Oyarzabal

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target9%

Barrenetxea

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

S. Becker

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Girona

Abel Ruiz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

Iván Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

David López

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target3%

Y. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target14%

B. Miovski

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Sociedad xG (home)1.12

Girona xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

54.08% Possession 56.47%

Team Comparison Real Sociedad vs Girona

81.21% Pass accuracy 87.37%

446.97 Passes per match 517.42

-0.05 Goals prevented -0.2

13.18 Fouls committed 11.5

2.55 Goalkeeper saves 2.86

2.16 Offsides 2.14

17.05 Tackles per match 14.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Real Sociedad vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Real Sociedad vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights