Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Red Bull Salzburg vs Dinamo Zagreb

Red Bull Salzburg vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-10-23 19:00
Red Bull Salzburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Dinamo Zagreb
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
21%
2
43%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Red Bull Salzburg (Home)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Dinamo Zagreb (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Red Bull Salzburg
LLLLW
Dinamo Zagreb
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 80%
17% +1.5 80%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.

Red Bull Salzburg averages 0.67 goals scored at home, while Dinamo Zagreb averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
21%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
72%

Head-to-Head last 3

Oct 2024 Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb Away
Oct 2022 Red Bull Salzburg(A) 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb Draw
Oct 2022 Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb Home

In the last 3 meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 1, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Red Bull Salzburg — unbeaten run (home)0
Red Bull Salzburg — scoring streak (home)1
Dinamo Zagreb — winless run (away)1
Dinamo Zagreb — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Red Bull Salzburg Win (1)35%
Draw (X)21%
Dinamo Zagreb Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 80%
17% +1.5 80%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 20%
83% -1.5 20%
100% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 80%
100% -4.5 100%

Red Bull Salzburg vs Dinamo Zagreb — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Red Bull Salzburg — scored (home)0.67
Red Bull Salzburg — conceded (home)2.5
Dinamo Zagreb — scored (away)2
Dinamo Zagreb — conceded (away)2.6
Model expected combined goals3.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%
No28%

Rate per Team

Red Bull Salzburg — BTTS matches (home)50%
Dinamo Zagreb — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Red Bull Salzburg (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.5

Dinamo Zagreb (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against9.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Red Bull Salzburg
7 9 6 13 9
Dinamo Zagreb
14 11 14 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Red Bull Salzburg (home)

For2.3

Dinamo Zagreb (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Red Bull Salzburg — total shots (home)10.8
Dinamo Zagreb — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Red Bull Salzburg — on target (home)3.5
Dinamo Zagreb — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Red Bull Salzburg

Inside the box7.08
Outside the box3.42

Dinamo Zagreb

Inside the box6.2
Outside the box4.1

Player Shots Red Bull Salzburg

M. Kjærgaard
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target60%
A. Daghim
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
K. Konaté
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
O. Gloukh
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Bidstrup
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Dinamo Zagreb

S. Kulenović
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Rog
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Špikić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Pjaca
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Mmaee
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Red Bull Salzburg xG (home)0.85
Dinamo Zagreb xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

47.17% Possession 38.5%

Team Comparison Red Bull Salzburg vs Dinamo Zagreb

83.75% Pass accuracy 78.1%
457.83 Passes per match 337
-0.16 Goals prevented -0.34
11.42 Fouls committed 11.5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
2.27 Offsides 1.5
19.17 Tackles per match 18.9

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Red Bull Salzburg vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction analysis

Review Red Bull Salzburg vs Dinamo Zagreb with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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