Prediction Analysis: Red Bull Salzburg vs Paris Saint Germain
Red Bull Salzburg vs Paris Saint Germain prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Red Bull Salzburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Paris Saint Germain
Away
Prediction Summary
1
16%
X
22%
2
62%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Red Bull Salzburg (Home)
Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Paris Saint Germain (Away)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate25%
Team Form last 5 matches
Red Bull Salzburg
LLLLW
Paris Saint Germain
WWWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
50%
+0.5
75%
17%
+1.5
50%
0%
+2.5
38%
0%
+3.5
13%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
25%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.
Red Bull Salzburg averages 0.67 goals scored at home, while Paris Saint Germain averages 1.75 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
16%
Draw
22%
Away Win
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 1
Dec 2024
Red Bull Salzburg
0 - 3
Paris Saint Germain
Away
In the last 1 meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Red Bull Salzburg — unbeaten run (home)0
Red Bull Salzburg — scoring streak (home)1
Paris Saint Germain — winless run (away)0
Paris Saint Germain — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Red Bull Salzburg Win (1)16%
Draw (X)22%
Paris Saint Germain Win (2)62%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
50%
+0.5
75%
17%
+1.5
50%
0%
+2.5
38%
0%
+3.5
13%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
50%
-0.5
25%
83%
-1.5
50%
100%
-2.5
62%
100%
-3.5
87%
100%
-4.5
100%
Red Bull Salzburg vs Paris Saint Germain — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Red Bull Salzburg — scored (home)0.67
Red Bull Salzburg — conceded (home)2.5
Paris Saint Germain — scored (away)1.75
Paris Saint Germain — conceded (away)0.88
Model expected combined goals2.69
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Red Bull Salzburg — BTTS matches (home)50%
Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)37.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.565%
Under 6.535%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Red Bull Salzburg (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.5
Paris Saint Germain (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against4.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Red Bull Salzburg
7
9
6
13
9
Paris Saint Germain
10
10
4
8
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Red Bull Salzburg (home)
For2.3
Paris Saint Germain (away)
For1.4
Shots per Game
Red Bull Salzburg — total shots (home)10.8
Paris Saint Germain — total shots (away)13.9
Shots on Target
Red Bull Salzburg — on target (home)3.5
Paris Saint Germain — on target (away)5.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Red Bull Salzburg
Inside the box7.08
Outside the box3.42
Paris Saint Germain
Inside the box12.71
Outside the box6.18
Player Shots Red Bull Salzburg
M. Kjærgaard
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target60%
A. Daghim
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
K. Konaté
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
O. Gloukh
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Bidstrup
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Paris Saint Germain
O. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target53%
D. Doué
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target31%
Gonçalo Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Kvaratskhelia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Hakimi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Red Bull Salzburg xG (home)0.85
Paris Saint Germain xG (away)2.13
Average Possession
47.17%
Possession
61.65%
Team Comparison Red Bull Salzburg vs Paris Saint Germain
83.75%
Pass accuracy
88.18%
457.83
Passes per match
625.88
-0.16
Goals prevented
0.19
11.42
Fouls committed
9.12
3
Goalkeeper saves
2.47
2.27
Offsides
1.59
19.17
Tackles per match
19.65
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Red Bull Salzburg vs Paris Saint Germain prediction analysis
Review Red Bull Salzburg vs Paris Saint Germain with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights