Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Red Bull Salzburg vs Stade Brestois 29

Red Bull Salzburg vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-10-01 16:45
Red Bull Salzburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Stade Brestois 29
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
22%
2
43%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Red Bull Salzburg (Home)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Stade Brestois 29 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate20%

Team Form last 5 matches

Red Bull Salzburg
LLLLW
Stade Brestois 29
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 40%
17% +1.5 40%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 20%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Red Bull Salzburg averages 0.67 goals scored at home, while Stade Brestois 29 averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
22%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 4 Stade Brestois 29 Away

In the last 1 meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Red Bull Salzburg — unbeaten run (home)0
Red Bull Salzburg — scoring streak (home)1
Stade Brestois 29 — winless run (away)3
Stade Brestois 29 — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Red Bull Salzburg Win (1)34%
Draw (X)22%
Stade Brestois 29 Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 40%
17% +1.5 40%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 60%
83% -1.5 60%
100% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 80%
100% -4.5 100%

Red Bull Salzburg vs Stade Brestois 29 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Red Bull Salzburg — scored (home)0.67
Red Bull Salzburg — conceded (home)2.5
Stade Brestois 29 — scored (away)1.2
Stade Brestois 29 — conceded (away)2.6
Model expected combined goals3.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

Red Bull Salzburg — BTTS matches (home)50%
Stade Brestois 29 — BTTS matches (away)20%
Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.572%
Under 4.528%
Over 5.572%
Under 5.528%
Over 6.564%
Under 6.536%
Over 7.545%
Under 7.555%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.517%
Under 9.583%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Red Bull Salzburg (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.5

Stade Brestois 29 (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Red Bull Salzburg
7 9 6 13 9
Stade Brestois 29
12 7 7 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.554%
Under 2.546%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Red Bull Salzburg (home)

For2.3

Stade Brestois 29 (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Red Bull Salzburg — total shots (home)10.8
Stade Brestois 29 — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Red Bull Salzburg — on target (home)3.5
Stade Brestois 29 — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Red Bull Salzburg

Inside the box7.08
Outside the box3.42

Stade Brestois 29

Inside the box7.8
Outside the box5.3

Player Shots Red Bull Salzburg

M. Kjærgaard
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target60%
A. Daghim
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
K. Konaté
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
O. Gloukh
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Bidstrup
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Stade Brestois 29

E. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Martin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Sima
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
L. Ajorque
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Doumbia
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Red Bull Salzburg xG (home)0.85
Stade Brestois 29 xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

47.17% Possession 41.7%

Team Comparison Red Bull Salzburg vs Stade Brestois 29

83.75% Pass accuracy 78.4%
457.83 Passes per match 377.4
-0.16 Goals prevented 0.3
11.42 Fouls committed 11.3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
2.27 Offsides 1.4
19.17 Tackles per match 18.8

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Red Bull Salzburg vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction analysis

Review Red Bull Salzburg vs Stade Brestois 29 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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