Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg

Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-08-01 17:30
Red Bull Salzburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
TSV Hartberg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
26%
2
37%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Red Bull Salzburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.81
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate63%

TSV Hartberg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.31
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Red Bull Salzburg
LLDLW
TSV Hartberg
WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 63%
63% +1.5 50%
25% +2.5 19%
13% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Red Bull Salzburg averages 1.81 goals scored at home, while TSV Hartberg averages 1.31 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
26%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 3 TSV Hartberg Away
Apr 2026 Red Bull Salzburg(A) 2 - 1 TSV Hartberg Home
Mar 2026 Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 0 TSV Hartberg Draw
Aug 2025 Red Bull Salzburg(A) 2 - 1 TSV Hartberg Home
Dec 2024 Red Bull Salzburg 4 - 0 TSV Hartberg Home

In the last 5 meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Red Bull Salzburg — unbeaten run (home)0
Red Bull Salzburg — scoring streak (home)4
TSV Hartberg — winless run (away)0
TSV Hartberg — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Red Bull Salzburg Win (1)37%
Draw (X)26%
TSV Hartberg Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 63%
63% +1.5 50%
25% +2.5 19%
13% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 37%
37% -1.5 50%
75% -2.5 81%
87% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Red Bull Salzburg — scored (home)1.81
Red Bull Salzburg — conceded (home)1.44
TSV Hartberg — scored (away)1.31
TSV Hartberg — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Red Bull Salzburg — BTTS matches (home)63%
TSV Hartberg — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Red Bull Salzburg (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.7

TSV Hartberg (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against8.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Red Bull Salzburg
5 11 13 9 15
TSV Hartberg
12 8 8 9 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Red Bull Salzburg (home)

For1.9

TSV Hartberg (away)

For1.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.45

Red Bull Salzburg

Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.564%
Expected shots16.19
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.05

TSV Hartberg

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.26
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.64

Shots per Game

Red Bull Salzburg — total shots (home)17.9
TSV Hartberg — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Red Bull Salzburg — on target (home)5.7
TSV Hartberg — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Red Bull Salzburg

Inside the box10.06
Outside the box5.63

TSV Hartberg

Inside the box5.5
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Red Bull Salzburg

Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
K. Konaté
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Ratkov
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
N. Dorgeles
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots TSV Hartberg

E. Havel
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Heil
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Korherr
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Hoffmann
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Drew
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Red Bull Salzburg xG (home)1.79
TSV Hartberg xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

59.66% Possession 38.94%

Team Comparison Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg

81.75% Pass accuracy 72.47%
498.91 Passes per match 321.31
0.08 Goals prevented 0.17
9.69 Fouls committed 10.94
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.81
1.85 Offsides 1.16
17.16 Tackles per match 15.94

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg prediction analysis

Review Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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