Prediction Analysis: Reims vs Lens
Reims vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Reims
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1

Lens
Away
Prediction Summary
1
33%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Reims (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate56%
Lens (Away)
Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Reims
LDLLL
Lens
WDWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
61%
+0.5
82%
22%
+1.5
47%
11%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
56%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Reims averages 1 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.35 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
33%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2025
Reims(A)
2 - 0
Lens
Home
Nov 2024
Reims
0 - 2
Lens
Away
Feb 2024
Reims
1 - 1
Lens
Draw
Dec 2023
Reims(A)
0 - 2
Lens
Away
May 2023
Reims(A)
1 - 2
Lens
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Reims won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Reims — unbeaten run (home)0
Reims — scoring streak (home)1
Lens — winless run (away)1
Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Reims Win (1)33%
Draw (X)27%
Lens Win (2)41%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
61%
+0.5
82%
22%
+1.5
47%
11%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
39%
-0.5
18%
78%
-1.5
53%
89%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Reims vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Reims — scored (home)1
Reims — conceded (home)1.56
Lens — scored (away)1.35
Lens — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Reims — BTTS matches (home)56%
Lens — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)54.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Reims (home)
Corners for3.6
Corners against5.5
Lens (away)
Corners for4.3
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Reims
8
9
13
12
10
Lens
13
9
10
3
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Reims (home)
For2.1
Lens (away)
For2.9
Shots per Game
Reims — total shots (home)12.4
Lens — total shots (away)12.5
Shots on Target
Reims — on target (home)3.4
Lens — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Reims
Inside the box7.61
Outside the box4.14
Lens
Inside the box9.68
Outside the box4.71
Player Shots Reims
A. Tia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Agbadou
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
V. Atangana Edoa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
Keito Nakamura
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target24%
M. Munetsi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Lens
F. Sotoca
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
M'Bala Nzola
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target29%
R. Aguilar
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Chávez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Reims xG (home)1.11
Lens xG (away)1.57
Average Possession
43.69%
Possession
54.06%
Team Comparison Reims vs Lens
80.39%
Pass accuracy
83.12%
388.28
Passes per match
488.06
0.31
Goals prevented
0.39
11.75
Fouls committed
14.68
3.83
Goalkeeper saves
3.03
1.74
Offsides
2.8
16.58
Tackles per match
17.94
League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Reims vs Lens prediction analysis
Review Reims vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights