Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Reims vs Lens

Reims vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-11-29 19:45
Reims
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Lens
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Reims (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate56%

Lens (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Reims
LDLLL
Lens
WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 82%
22% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Reims averages 1 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Reims(A) 2 - 0 Lens Home
Nov 2024 Reims 0 - 2 Lens Away
Feb 2024 Reims 1 - 1 Lens Draw
Dec 2023 Reims(A) 0 - 2 Lens Away
May 2023 Reims(A) 1 - 2 Lens Away

In the last 5 meetings, Reims won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Reims — unbeaten run (home)0
Reims — scoring streak (home)1
Lens — winless run (away)1
Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Reims Win (1)33%
Draw (X)27%
Lens Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 82%
22% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 18%
78% -1.5 53%
89% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Reims vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Reims — scored (home)1
Reims — conceded (home)1.56
Lens — scored (away)1.35
Lens — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Reims — BTTS matches (home)56%
Lens — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Reims (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.5

Lens (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Reims
8 9 13 12 10
Lens
13 9 10 3 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Reims (home)

For2.1

Lens (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Reims — total shots (home)12.4
Lens — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Reims — on target (home)3.4
Lens — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Reims

Inside the box7.61
Outside the box4.14

Lens

Inside the box9.68
Outside the box4.71

Player Shots Reims

A. Tia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Agbadou
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
V. Atangana Edoa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
Keito Nakamura
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target24%
M. Munetsi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
M'Bala Nzola
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target29%
R. Aguilar
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Chávez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Reims xG (home)1.11
Lens xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

43.69% Possession 54.06%

Team Comparison Reims vs Lens

80.39% Pass accuracy 83.12%
388.28 Passes per match 488.06
0.31 Goals prevented 0.39
11.75 Fouls committed 14.68
3.83 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
1.74 Offsides 2.8
16.58 Tackles per match 17.94

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Reims vs Lens prediction analysis

Review Reims vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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