Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Reims vs Monaco

Reims vs Monaco prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-12-14 20:00
Reims
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Monaco
Away

Prediction Summary

1
24%
X
23%
2
52%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Reims (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate56%

Monaco (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Reims
LDLLL
Monaco
LWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 88%
22% +1.5 41%
11% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Reims averages 1 goals scored at home, while Monaco averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
24%
Draw
23%
Away Win
52%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Reims(A) 0 - 3 Monaco Away
Jan 2025 Reims 1 - 1 Monaco Draw
Dec 2024 Reims 0 - 0 Monaco Draw
Jan 2024 Reims(A) 3 - 1 Monaco Home
Oct 2023 Reims 1 - 3 Monaco Away

In the last 5 meetings, Reims won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Reims — unbeaten run (home)0
Reims — scoring streak (home)1
Monaco — winless run (away)1
Monaco — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Reims Win (1)24%
Draw (X)23%
Monaco Win (2)52%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 88%
22% +1.5 41%
11% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 12%
78% -1.5 59%
89% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Reims vs Monaco — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Reims — scored (home)1
Reims — conceded (home)1.56
Monaco — scored (away)1.47
Monaco — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Reims — BTTS matches (home)56%
Monaco — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Reims (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.5

Monaco (away)

Corners for6.1
Corners against3.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Reims
8 9 13 12 10
Monaco
5 9 11 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Reims (home)

For2.1

Monaco (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Reims — total shots (home)12.4
Monaco — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Reims — on target (home)3.4
Monaco — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Reims

Inside the box7.61
Outside the box4.14

Monaco

Inside the box10.68
Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Reims

A. Tia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Agbadou
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
V. Atangana Edoa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
Keito Nakamura
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target24%
M. Munetsi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Monaco

M. Biereth
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
E. Ben Seghir
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target24%
G. Ilenikhena
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Akliouche
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Magassa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Reims xG (home)1.11
Monaco xG (away)2.19

Average Possession

43.69% Possession 55.03%

Team Comparison Reims vs Monaco

80.39% Pass accuracy 82.82%
388.28 Passes per match 485.82
0.31 Goals prevented -0.13
11.75 Fouls committed 13.59
3.83 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
1.74 Offsides 2.09
16.58 Tackles per match 19.71

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Reims vs Monaco prediction analysis

Review Reims vs Monaco with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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