Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rennes vs Auxerre

Rennes vs Auxerre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-06 15:15
Rennes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Auxerre
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
23%
2
25%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rennes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate35%

Auxerre (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rennes
LWLLW
Auxerre
LDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 12%
6% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rennes averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Auxerre averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
23%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Rennes(A) 3 - 0 Auxerre Home
Oct 2025 Rennes 2 - 2 Auxerre Draw
Apr 2025 Rennes 0 - 1 Auxerre Away
Nov 2024 Rennes(A) 0 - 4 Auxerre Away
Mar 2023 Rennes(A) 0 - 0 Auxerre Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rennes won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rennes — unbeaten run (home)2
Rennes — scoring streak (home)2
Auxerre — winless run (away)1
Auxerre — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rennes Win (1)52%
Draw (X)23%
Auxerre Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 12%
6% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 18%
65% -1.5 59%
82% -2.5 88%
94% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 100%

Rennes vs Auxerre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rennes — scored (home)1.47
Rennes — conceded (home)1
Auxerre — scored (away)1.41
Auxerre — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.02

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Rennes — BTTS matches (home)35%
Auxerre — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rennes (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.3

Auxerre (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rennes
12 9 11 6 10
Auxerre
12 9 9 10 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Rennes (home)

For1.9

Auxerre (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Rennes — total shots (home)14.1
Auxerre — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Rennes — on target (home)4.6
Auxerre — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rennes

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.29

Auxerre

Inside the box7.32
Outside the box3.85

Player Shots Rennes

A. Kalimuendo
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target21%
Mousa Tamari
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Jacquet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Rouault
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Gouiri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Auxerre

R. Raveloson
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Perrin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
K. Danois
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target5%
T. Bair
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Onaiwu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes xG (home)1.45
Auxerre xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

51.12% Possession 42.47%

Team Comparison Rennes vs Auxerre

84.12% Pass accuracy 78.35%
456.29 Passes per match 376.76
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.1
13.09 Fouls committed 11.88
2.65 Goalkeeper saves 3.76
1.41 Offsides 1.41
17.59 Tackles per match 19.32

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rennes vs Auxerre prediction analysis

Review Rennes vs Auxerre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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