Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rennes vs Auxerre

Rennes vs Auxerre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-10-10 15:00
Rennes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Auxerre
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
24%
2
22%
+2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Rennes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate71%

Auxerre (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rennes
LWLWW
Auxerre
WWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 35%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Rennes averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Auxerre averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
24%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Rennes(A) 3 - 0 Auxerre Home
Oct 2025 Rennes 2 - 2 Auxerre Draw
Apr 2025 Rennes 0 - 1 Auxerre Away
Nov 2024 Rennes(A) 0 - 4 Auxerre Away
Mar 2023 Rennes(A) 0 - 0 Auxerre Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rennes won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rennes — unbeaten run (home)4
Rennes — scoring streak (home)3
Auxerre — winless run (away)0
Auxerre — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rennes Win (1)54%
Draw (X)24%
Auxerre Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 35%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 65%
71% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Rennes vs Auxerre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rennes — scored (home)1.76
Rennes — conceded (home)1
Auxerre — scored (away)0.94
Auxerre — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Rennes — BTTS matches (home)71%
Auxerre — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rennes (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.6

Auxerre (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rennes
11 14 12 10 15
Auxerre
14 9 10 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Rennes (home)

For1.6

Auxerre (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.09

Rennes

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.553%
Expected shots14.43
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.16

Auxerre

Shots Over 9.556%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.66
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.69

Shots per Game

Rennes — total shots (home)15.9
Auxerre — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Rennes — on target (home)5.5
Auxerre — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rennes

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box5.35

Auxerre

Inside the box6.94
Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Rennes

E. Lepaul
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target34%
Mousa Tamari
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Embolo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Nordin
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Blas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Auxerre

L. Sinayoko
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Namaso
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Mara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target7%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Casimir
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes xG (home)1.59
Auxerre xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

53.5% Possession 43.91%

Team Comparison Rennes vs Auxerre

84.18% Pass accuracy 79.62%
477 Passes per match 372.85
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.08
12.38 Fouls committed 13.74
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 3.29
2.41 Offsides 1.45
16.15 Tackles per match 18.09

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rennes vs Auxerre prediction analysis

Review Rennes vs Auxerre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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