Prediction Analysis: Rennes vs Le Mans
Rennes vs Le Mans prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Rennes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1

Le Mans
Away
Prediction Summary
1
50%
X
24%
2
25%
+2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
55%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Rennes (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate71%
Le Mans (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Rennes
LWLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
0%
53%
+1.5
0%
29%
+2.5
0%
12%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.
Rennes averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Le Mans averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 0
No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.
Current Streaks
Rennes — unbeaten run (home)4
Rennes — scoring streak (home)3
1X2 Probability model
Rennes Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
Le Mans Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
0%
53%
+1.5
0%
29%
+2.5
0%
12%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
100%
47%
-1.5
100%
71%
-2.5
100%
88%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Rennes vs Le Mans — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Rennes — scored (home)1.76
Rennes — conceded (home)1
Le Mans — scored (away)0
Le Mans — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.8
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
Rennes — BTTS matches (home)71%
Le Mans — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)35.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Rennes (home)
Corners for6.5
Corners against4.6
Le Mans (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Rennes
11
14
12
10
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.547%
Under 0.553%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.533%
Under 2.567%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Rennes (home)
For1.6
Le Mans (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.34
Rennes
Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.24
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.98
Le Mans
Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.09
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.87
Shots per Game
Rennes — total shots (home)15.9
Le Mans — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Rennes — on target (home)5.5
Le Mans — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Rennes
Inside the box8.82
Outside the box5.35
Le Mans
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Rennes
E. Lepaul
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target34%
Mousa Tamari
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Embolo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Nordin
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Blas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Le Mans
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Rennes xG (home)1.59
Le Mans xG (away)-
Average Possession
53.5%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Rennes vs Le Mans
84.18%
Pass accuracy
0%
477
Passes per match
-
-0.01
Goals prevented
-
12.38
Fouls committed
-
2.88
Goalkeeper saves
-
2.41
Offsides
-
16.15
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Rennes vs Le Mans prediction analysis
Review Rennes vs Le Mans with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights