Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rennes vs Le Mans

Rennes vs Le Mans prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-08-29 15:00
Rennes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Le Mans
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
24%
2
25%
+2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Rennes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate71%

Le Mans (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rennes
LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 0%
53% +1.5 0%
29% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Rennes averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Le Mans averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Rennes — unbeaten run (home)4
Rennes — scoring streak (home)3

1X2 Probability model

Rennes Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
Le Mans Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 0%
53% +1.5 0%
29% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 100%
47% -1.5 100%
71% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Rennes vs Le Mans — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rennes — scored (home)1.76
Rennes — conceded (home)1
Le Mans — scored (away)0
Le Mans — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Rennes — BTTS matches (home)71%
Le Mans — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)35.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rennes (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.6

Le Mans (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rennes
11 14 12 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.547%
Under 0.553%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.533%
Under 2.567%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Rennes (home)

For1.6

Le Mans (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.34

Rennes

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.24
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.98

Le Mans

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.09
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.87

Shots per Game

Rennes — total shots (home)15.9
Le Mans — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Rennes — on target (home)5.5
Le Mans — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rennes

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box5.35

Le Mans

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Rennes

E. Lepaul
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target34%
Mousa Tamari
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Embolo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Nordin
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Blas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Le Mans

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes xG (home)1.59
Le Mans xG (away)-

Average Possession

53.5% Possession -%

Team Comparison Rennes vs Le Mans

84.18% Pass accuracy 0%
477 Passes per match -
-0.01 Goals prevented -
12.38 Fouls committed -
2.88 Goalkeeper saves -
2.41 Offsides -
16.15 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rennes vs Le Mans prediction analysis

Review Rennes vs Le Mans with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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