What markets are included in the Rennes vs Lens prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rennes vs Lens prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rennes vs Lens

Rennes vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-09-28 18:45

Rennes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lens

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

25%

35%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rennes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate71%

Lens (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rennes

LWLWW

Lens

WLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 76%

53% +1.5 53%

29% +2.5 29%

12% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

71% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rennes averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

25%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Rennes(A) 1 - 3 Lens Away

Sep 2025 Rennes 0 - 0 Lens Draw

Mar 2025 Rennes(A) 0 - 1 Lens Away

Sep 2024 Rennes 1 - 1 Lens Draw

May 2024 Rennes 1 - 1 Lens Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rennes won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rennes — unbeaten run (home)4

Rennes — scoring streak (home)3

Lens — winless run (away)0

Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rennes Win (1)40%

Draw (X)25%

Lens Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 76%

53% +1.5 53%

29% +2.5 29%

12% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 24%

47% -1.5 47%

71% -2.5 71%

88% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 94%

Rennes vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rennes — scored (home)1.76

Rennes — conceded (home)1

Lens — scored (away)1.82

Lens — conceded (away)1.29

Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Rennes — BTTS matches (home)71%

Lens — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.562%

Under 9.538%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rennes (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against4.6

Lens (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rennes

11 14 12 10 15

Lens

6 15 11 9 28

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Rennes (home)

For1.6

Lens (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Rennes — total shots (home)15.9

Lens — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Rennes — on target (home)5.5

Lens — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rennes

Inside the box8.82

Outside the box5.35

Lens

Inside the box11.47

Outside the box4.97

Player Shots Rennes

E. Lepaul

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target34%

Mousa Tamari

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target18%

B. Embolo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Nordin

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

L. Blas

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Lens

O. Édouard

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target34%

W. Saïd

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target31%

F. Thauvin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Udol

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Sangaré

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes xG (home)1.59

Lens xG (away)1.99

Average Possession

53.5% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Rennes vs Lens

84.18% Pass accuracy 84.24%

477 Passes per match 463.53

-0.01 Goals prevented 0.17

12.38 Fouls committed 12.71

2.88 Goalkeeper saves 2.48

2.41 Offsides 2.23

16.15 Tackles per match 18.74

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rennes vs Lens prediction analysis

Review Rennes vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights