Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rennes vs Nantes

Rennes vs Nantes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-18 18:45
Rennes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nantes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
24%
2
25%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rennes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate35%

Nantes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate82%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rennes
LWLLW
Nantes
WDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 82%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rennes averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Nantes averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Rennes 2 - 1 Nantes Home
Sep 2025 Rennes(A) 2 - 2 Nantes Draw
Apr 2025 Rennes 2 - 1 Nantes Home
Dec 2024 Rennes(A) 0 - 1 Nantes Away
Apr 2024 Rennes(A) 3 - 0 Nantes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Rennes won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Rennes — unbeaten run (home)2
Rennes — scoring streak (home)2
Nantes — winless run (away)2
Nantes — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rennes Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Nantes Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 18%
65% -1.5 71%
82% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Rennes vs Nantes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rennes — scored (home)1.47
Rennes — conceded (home)1
Nantes — scored (away)1.18
Nantes — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Rennes — BTTS matches (home)35%
Nantes — BTTS matches (away)82%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rennes (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.3

Nantes (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rennes
12 9 11 6 10
Nantes
8 8 10 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Rennes (home)

For1.9

Nantes (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Rennes — total shots (home)14.1
Nantes — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Rennes — on target (home)4.6
Nantes — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rennes

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.29

Nantes

Inside the box7.62
Outside the box2.68

Player Shots Rennes

A. Kalimuendo
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target21%
Mousa Tamari
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Jacquet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Rouault
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Gouiri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Nantes

Mostafa Mohamed
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Abline
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target18%
Bahereba Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
Louis Leroux
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target6%
Douglas Augusto
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes xG (home)1.45
Nantes xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

51.12% Possession 39.97%

Team Comparison Rennes vs Nantes

84.12% Pass accuracy 79.53%
456.29 Passes per match 367.76
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.06
13.09 Fouls committed 12.12
2.65 Goalkeeper saves 2.94
1.41 Offsides 1.11
17.59 Tackles per match 18.91

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rennes vs Nantes prediction analysis

Review Rennes vs Nantes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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