Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rennes vs Nice

Rennes vs Nice prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-05-10 19:00
Rennes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nice
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
25%
2
36%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rennes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate35%

Nice (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rennes
LWLLW
Nice
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 12%
6% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rennes averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Nice averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
25%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Rennes(A) 4 - 0 Nice Home
Oct 2025 Rennes 1 - 2 Nice Away
May 2025 Rennes 2 - 0 Nice Home
Jan 2025 Rennes(A) 2 - 3 Nice Away
Jan 2024 Rennes 2 - 0 Nice Home

In the last 5 meetings, Rennes won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rennes — unbeaten run (home)2
Rennes — scoring streak (home)2
Nice — winless run (away)1
Nice — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rennes Win (1)39%
Draw (X)25%
Nice Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 12%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 18%
65% -1.5 59%
82% -2.5 71%
94% -3.5 88%
94% -4.5 100%

Rennes vs Nice — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rennes — scored (home)1.47
Rennes — conceded (home)1
Nice — scored (away)1.65
Nice — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Rennes — BTTS matches (home)35%
Nice — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rennes (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.3

Nice (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rennes
12 9 11 6 10
Nice
6 17 8 6 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Rennes (home)

For1.9

Nice (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Rennes — total shots (home)14.1
Nice — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Rennes — on target (home)4.6
Nice — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rennes

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.29

Nice

Inside the box10.32
Outside the box4.12

Player Shots Rennes

A. Kalimuendo
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target21%
Mousa Tamari
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Jacquet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Rouault
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Gouiri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Nice

T. Moffi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Louchet
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target5%
Y. Moukoko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Boga
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target33%
G. Laborde
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes xG (home)1.45
Nice xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

51.12% Possession 47.5%

Team Comparison Rennes vs Nice

84.12% Pass accuracy 83.24%
456.29 Passes per match 432.74
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.13
13.09 Fouls committed 11.5
2.65 Goalkeeper saves 3.56
1.41 Offsides 1.93
17.59 Tackles per match 18.65

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rennes vs Nice prediction analysis

Review Rennes vs Nice with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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