Prediction Analysis: Ried vs Grazer AK
Ried vs Grazer AK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-08-21
17:30
Ried
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Grazer AK
Away
Prediction Summary
1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Ried (Home)
Goals scored / match1.39
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate50%
Grazer AK (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate44%
Team Form last 5 matches
Ried
LWWLL
Grazer AK
WDWLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
72%
+0.5
50%
56%
+1.5
25%
11%
+2.5
13%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
6%
50%
BTTS
44%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Ried averages 1.39 goals scored at home, while Grazer AK averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
47%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Ried
2 - 1
Grazer AK
Home
Apr 2026
Ried(A)
1 - 1
Grazer AK
Draw
Mar 2026
Ried(A)
1 - 2
Grazer AK
Away
Sep 2025
Ried
0 - 0
Grazer AK
Draw
Mar 2024
Ried
0 - 1
Grazer AK
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Ried won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Ried — unbeaten run (home)2
Ried — scoring streak (home)2
Grazer AK — winless run (away)0
Grazer AK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Ried Win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
Grazer AK Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
72%
+0.5
50%
56%
+1.5
25%
11%
+2.5
13%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
28%
-0.5
50%
44%
-1.5
75%
89%
-2.5
87%
100%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
94%
Ried vs Grazer AK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Ried — scored (home)1.39
Ried — conceded (home)1.11
Grazer AK — scored (away)1
Grazer AK — conceded (away)1.56
Model expected combined goals2.53
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
Ried — BTTS matches (home)50%
Grazer AK — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)47%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Ried (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against5.0
Grazer AK (away)
Corners for3.6
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Ried
12
8
6
9
11
Grazer AK
9
13
9
8
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Ried (home)
For1.9
Grazer AK (away)
For2.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.566%
Under 19.534%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.538%
Under 25.562%
Expected total shots23.67
Ried
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.20
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.16
Grazer AK
Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.46
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.80
Shots per Game
Ried — total shots (home)13.3
Grazer AK — total shots (away)8.8
Shots on Target
Ried — on target (home)3.8
Grazer AK — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Ried
Inside the box7.83
Outside the box4.09
Grazer AK
Inside the box6.47
Outside the box3.59
Player Shots Ried
K. Mutandwa
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Große
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Van Wyk
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kiedl
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Bajić
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Grazer AK
R. Harakaté
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Maderner
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Hofleitner
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cipot
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Große
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Ried xG (home)1.36
Grazer AK xG (away)1.25
Average Possession
49.26%
Possession
47.66%
Team Comparison Ried vs Grazer AK
73.34%
Pass accuracy
72%
332.09
Passes per match
353.63
-0
Goals prevented
-0.3
11.74
Fouls committed
11.84
2.91
Goalkeeper saves
2.31
2.45
Offsides
1.93
14.54
Tackles per match
14.66
League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Ried vs Grazer AK prediction analysis
Review Ried vs Grazer AK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights