Prediction Analysis: Riga vs FS Jelgava
Riga vs FS Jelgava prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Virsliga
2026-07-03
16:00
Riga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
FS Jelgava
Away
Prediction Summary
1
61%
X
18%
2
21%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Riga (Home)
Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate75%
BTTS rate50%
FS Jelgava (Away)
Goals scored / match2.5
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Riga
WWWDW
FS Jelgava
LLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
50%
100%
+1.5
50%
75%
+2.5
50%
25%
+3.5
50%
0%
+4.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.
Riga averages 3 goals scored at home, while FS Jelgava averages 2.5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
75%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
61%
Draw
18%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
70%
Head-to-Head last 1
Jul 2026
Riga
3 - 0
FS Jelgava
Home
In the last 1 meetings, Riga won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Riga — unbeaten run (home)4
Riga — scoring streak (home)4
FS Jelgava — winless run (away)1
FS Jelgava — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Riga Win (1)61%
Draw (X)18%
FS Jelgava Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
50%
100%
+1.5
50%
75%
+2.5
50%
25%
+3.5
50%
0%
+4.5
50%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
50%
0%
-1.5
50%
25%
-2.5
50%
75%
-3.5
50%
100%
-4.5
50%
Riga vs FS Jelgava — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Riga — scored (home)3
Riga — conceded (home)0.5
FS Jelgava — scored (away)2.5
FS Jelgava — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.92
Both Teams To Score
Yes70%
No30%
Rate per Team
Riga — BTTS matches (home)50%
FS Jelgava — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Riga (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
FS Jelgava (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Riga (home)
For—
FS Jelgava (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Riga — total shots (home)—
FS Jelgava — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Riga — on target (home)—
FS Jelgava — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Riga
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
FS Jelgava
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Riga vs FS Jelgava
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Riga vs FS Jelgava prediction analysis
Review Riga vs FS Jelgava with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Virsliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Virsliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights