Prediction Analysis: Riga vs Vardar Skopje
Riga vs Vardar Skopje prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Riga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Riga
Probability
81%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0

Vardar Skopje
Away
Prediction Summary
1
81%
X
13%
2
7%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Riga (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.33
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%
Vardar Skopje (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match3.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Riga
WWLLW
Vardar Skopje
LLWDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
50%
67%
+1.5
50%
33%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
33%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 81%. Model confidence is High.
Riga averages 2 goals scored at home, while Vardar Skopje averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
81%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
81%
Draw
13%
Away Win
7%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
46%
Head-to-Head last 1
Jul 2026
Riga(A)
3 - 2
Vardar Skopje
Home
In the last 1 meetings, Riga won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Riga — unbeaten run (home)3
Riga — scoring streak (home)3
Vardar Skopje — winless run (away)2
Vardar Skopje — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Riga Win (1)81%
Draw (X)13%
Vardar Skopje Win (2)7%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
50%
67%
+1.5
50%
33%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
50%
33%
-1.5
50%
67%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Riga vs Vardar Skopje — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Riga — scored (home)2
Riga — conceded (home)0.33
Vardar Skopje — scored (away)1
Vardar Skopje — conceded (away)3.5
Model expected combined goals3.42
Both Teams To Score
Yes46%
No54%
Rate per Team
Riga — BTTS matches (home)33%
Vardar Skopje — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)41.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Riga (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Vardar Skopje (away)
Corners for3.0
Corners against4.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Vardar Skopje
9
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3
Yellow Cards per Team
Riga (home)
For—
Vardar Skopje (away)
For1.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.67
Riga
Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.52
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.15
Vardar Skopje
Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.15
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.92
Shots per Game
Riga — total shots (home)—
Vardar Skopje — total shots (away)8.0
Shots on Target
Riga — on target (home)—
Vardar Skopje — on target (away)3.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Riga
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Vardar Skopje
Inside the box8
Outside the box1.5
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga xG (home)-
Vardar Skopje xG (away)0
Average Possession
-%
Possession
42.5%
Team Comparison Riga vs Vardar Skopje
0%
Pass accuracy
67%
-
Passes per match
290
-
Goals prevented
0
-
Fouls committed
10.5
-
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
-
Offsides
3.5
-
Tackles per match
23.5
League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Riga vs Vardar Skopje prediction analysis
Review Riga vs Vardar Skopje with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa Conference League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Europa Conference League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights