Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rīgas FS vs Anderlecht

Rīgas FS vs Anderlecht prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-07 20:00
Rīgas FS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Anderlecht
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
17%
2
13%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Rīgas FS (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%

Anderlecht (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rīgas FS
LWLLD
Anderlecht
DLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 67%
50% +1.5 33%
17% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is High.

Rīgas FS averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Anderlecht averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
17%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Rīgas FS 1 - 1 Anderlecht Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Rīgas FS won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Rīgas FS — unbeaten run (home)1
Rīgas FS — scoring streak (home)1
Anderlecht — winless run (away)2
Anderlecht — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rīgas FS Win (1)70%
Draw (X)17%
Anderlecht Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 67%
50% +1.5 33%
17% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 33%
50% -1.5 67%
83% -2.5 100%
83% -3.5 100%
83% -4.5 100%

Rīgas FS vs Anderlecht — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rīgas FS — scored (home)2.17
Rīgas FS — conceded (home)1
Anderlecht — scored (away)1
Anderlecht — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Rīgas FS — BTTS matches (home)50%
Anderlecht — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.567%
Under 4.533%
Over 5.567%
Under 5.533%
Over 6.559%
Under 6.541%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rīgas FS (home)

Corners for3.0
Corners against6.5

Anderlecht (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rīgas FS
12 11 5 6 10
Anderlecht
10 3 11 12 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3

Yellow Cards per Team

Rīgas FS (home)

For1.5

Anderlecht (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Rīgas FS — total shots (home)7.5
Anderlecht — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Rīgas FS — on target (home)3.0
Anderlecht — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rīgas FS

Inside the box6.63
Outside the box2.25

Anderlecht

Inside the box7.1
Outside the box5.3

Player Shots Rīgas FS

J. Ikaunieks
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target38%
D. Lemajić
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Marhiev
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Savaļnieks
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Odisharia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Anderlecht

K. Dolberg
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Amuzu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Dreyer
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
S. Edozie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rīgas FS xG (home)0.87
Anderlecht xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

36.67% Possession 57%

Team Comparison Rīgas FS vs Anderlecht

75.75% Pass accuracy 83.1%
340.5 Passes per match 498.1
-0.2 Goals prevented -0.08
13.33 Fouls committed 10.36
3.33 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
1.67 Offsides 1.45
16 Tackles per match 18.3

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rīgas FS vs Anderlecht prediction analysis

Review Rīgas FS vs Anderlecht with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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