Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rīgas FS vs Apoel Nicosia

Rīgas FS vs Apoel Nicosia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-08-22 17:00
Rīgas FS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Apoel Nicosia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
62%
X
20%
2
17%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Rīgas FS (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%

Apoel Nicosia (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rīgas FS
LWLLD
Apoel Nicosia
WL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 0%
17% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rīgas FS averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Apoel Nicosia averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
62%
Draw
20%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2024 Rīgas FS(A) 1 - 2 Apoel Nicosia Away
Aug 2024 Rīgas FS 2 - 1 Apoel Nicosia Home

In the last 2 meetings, Rīgas FS won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Rīgas FS — unbeaten run (home)1
Rīgas FS — scoring streak (home)1
Apoel Nicosia — winless run (away)1
Apoel Nicosia — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1

1X2 Probability model

Rīgas FS Win (1)62%
Draw (X)20%
Apoel Nicosia Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 0%
17% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 0%
50% -1.5 100%
83% -2.5 100%
83% -3.5 100%
83% -4.5 100%

Rīgas FS vs Apoel Nicosia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rīgas FS — scored (home)2.17
Rīgas FS — conceded (home)1
Apoel Nicosia — scored (away)1
Apoel Nicosia — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Rīgas FS — BTTS matches (home)50%
Apoel Nicosia — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.534%
Under 4.566%
Over 5.534%
Under 5.566%
Over 6.525%
Under 6.575%
Over 7.525%
Under 7.575%
Over 8.525%
Under 8.575%
Over 9.517%
Under 9.583%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rīgas FS (home)

Corners for3.0
Corners against6.5

Apoel Nicosia (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rīgas FS
12 11 5 6 10
Apoel Nicosia
0 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Rīgas FS (home)

For1.5

Apoel Nicosia (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Rīgas FS — total shots (home)7.5
Apoel Nicosia — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Rīgas FS — on target (home)3.0
Apoel Nicosia — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rīgas FS

Inside the box6.63
Outside the box2.25

Apoel Nicosia

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Rīgas FS

J. Ikaunieks
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target38%
A. Marhiev
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
D. Lemajić
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Savaļnieks
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Odisharia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Apoel Nicosia

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rīgas FS xG (home)0.87
Apoel Nicosia xG (away)-

Average Possession

36.67% Possession -%

Team Comparison Rīgas FS vs Apoel Nicosia

75.75% Pass accuracy 0%
340.5 Passes per match -
-0.2 Goals prevented -
13.33 Fouls committed -
3.33 Goalkeeper saves -
1.67 Offsides -
16 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rīgas FS vs Apoel Nicosia prediction analysis

Review Rīgas FS vs Apoel Nicosia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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