Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rīgas FS vs Malmo FF

Rīgas FS vs Malmo FF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-07-22 17:00
Rīgas FS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
74%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Malmo FF
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
21%
2
49%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Rīgas FS (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.75
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Malmo FF (Away)

Goals scored / match2.33
Goals conceded / match2.33
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rīgas FS
LLWWL
Malmo FF
LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
25% +1.5 67%
25% +2.5 67%
0% +3.5 33%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.

Rīgas FS averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Malmo FF averages 2.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
21%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
72%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Rīgas FS(A) 0 - 1 Malmo FF Away
Jul 2025 Rīgas FS 1 - 4 Malmo FF Away

In the last 2 meetings, Rīgas FS won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Rīgas FS — unbeaten run (home)0
Rīgas FS — scoring streak (home)4
Malmo FF — winless run (away)1
Malmo FF — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Rīgas FS Win (1)30%
Draw (X)21%
Malmo FF Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
25% +1.5 67%
25% +2.5 67%
0% +3.5 33%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
75% -1.5 33%
75% -2.5 33%
100% -3.5 67%
100% -4.5 100%

Rīgas FS vs Malmo FF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rīgas FS — scored (home)1.5
Rīgas FS — conceded (home)1.75
Malmo FF — scored (away)2.33
Malmo FF — conceded (away)2.33
Model expected combined goals3.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%
No28%

Rate per Team

Rīgas FS — BTTS matches (home)50%
Malmo FF — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.50%
Under 4.5100%
Over 5.50%
Under 5.5100%
Over 6.50%
Under 6.5100%
Over 7.50%
Under 7.5100%
Over 8.50%
Under 8.5100%
Over 9.50%
Under 9.5100%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)1.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rīgas FS (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Malmo FF (away)

Corners for1.0
Corners against2.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rīgas FS
0
Malmo FF
0 7 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.525%
Under 0.575%
Over 1.525%
Under 1.575%
Over 2.50%
Under 2.5100%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)1

Yellow Cards per Team

Rīgas FS (home)

For—

Malmo FF (away)

For1.0

Shots per Game

Rīgas FS — total shots (home)—
Malmo FF — total shots (away)7.0

Shots on Target

Rīgas FS — on target (home)—
Malmo FF — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rīgas FS

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Malmo FF

Inside the box4
Outside the box1.5
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rīgas FS xG (home)-
Malmo FF xG (away)0

Average Possession

-% Possession 49%

Team Comparison Rīgas FS vs Malmo FF

0% Pass accuracy 85%
- Passes per match 490
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 6.5
- Goalkeeper saves 2
- Offsides 1
- Tackles per match 9.5

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rīgas FS vs Malmo FF prediction analysis

Review Rīgas FS vs Malmo FF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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