Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs AVS

Rio Ave vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-16 15:30
Rio Ave
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
24%
2
25%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate71%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave
DDWLD
AVS
DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 11%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Rio Ave averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Rio Ave 2 - 2 AVS Draw
Dec 2025 Rio Ave(A) 2 - 1 AVS Home
Feb 2025 Rio Ave 1 - 1 AVS Draw
Sep 2024 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 1 AVS Away

In the last 4 meetings, Rio Ave won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)3
Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)3
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
AVS Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 11%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 33%
47% -1.5 89%
94% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Rio Ave vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1.47
Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.41
AVS — scored (away)0.78
AVS — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)71%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave
10 10 8 9 13
AVS
9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.2

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.1
AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.2
AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79
Outside the box4.26

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
Clayton
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target35%
Koka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Tıknaz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
João Novais
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.07
AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

47.71% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs AVS

79.59% Pass accuracy 76.78%
389.88 Passes per match 347.36
-0.09 Goals prevented -0.09
13.5 Fouls committed 14.08
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.65
2.79 Offsides 1.5
17.68 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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