What markets are included in the Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs Benfica

Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-16 18:00

Rio Ave

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Benfica

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

26%

41%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate71%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Benfica

DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 88%

53% +1.5 59%

6% +2.5 35%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Rio Ave averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

26%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Rio Ave 0 - 2 Benfica Away

Sep 2025 Rio Ave(A) 1 - 1 Benfica Draw

Mar 2025 Rio Ave 2 - 3 Benfica Away

Oct 2024 Rio Ave(A) 0 - 5 Benfica Away

May 2024 Rio Ave 1 - 1 Benfica Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)3

Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)3

Benfica — winless run (away)1

Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)34%

Draw (X)26%

Benfica Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 88%

53% +1.5 59%

6% +2.5 35%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 12%

47% -1.5 41%

94% -2.5 65%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Rio Ave vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1.47

Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.41

Benfica — scored (away)1.88

Benfica — conceded (away)0.94

Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)71%

Benfica — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.6

Benfica (away)

Corners for6.4

Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Benfica

10 14 6 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.2

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.1

Benfica — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.2

Benfica — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Benfica

Inside the box10.65

Outside the box6.21

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Tiago Gouveia

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

Z. Amdouni

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target25%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Á. Di María

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.07

Benfica xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

47.71% Possession 58.38%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs Benfica

79.59% Pass accuracy 84.06%

389.88 Passes per match 501.68

-0.09 Goals prevented -0.07

13.5 Fouls committed 11.76

3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

2.79 Offsides 3.11

17.68 Tackles per match 18.65

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights