What markets are included in the Rio Ave vs Farense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Rio Ave vs Farense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Rio Ave vs Farense

Rio Ave vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primeira Liga 2024-08-17 14:30

Rio Ave

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Farense

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

27%

31%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Rio Ave (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate71%

Farense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Farense

LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 59%

53% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Rio Ave averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

27%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Rio Ave(A) 2 - 1 Farense Home

Aug 2024 Rio Ave 1 - 0 Farense Home

Mar 2024 Rio Ave(A) 1 - 1 Farense Draw

Oct 2023 Rio Ave 3 - 4 Farense Away

Dec 2022 Rio Ave 2 - 1 Farense Home

In the last 5 meetings, Rio Ave won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Rio Ave — unbeaten run (home)3

Rio Ave — scoring streak (home)3

Farense — winless run (away)0

Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Rio Ave Win (1)42%

Draw (X)27%

Farense Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 59%

53% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 41%

47% -1.5 71%

94% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Rio Ave vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Rio Ave — scored (home)1.47

Rio Ave — conceded (home)1.41

Farense — scored (away)0.88

Farense — conceded (away)1.29

Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (home)71%

Farense — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.580%

Under 7.520%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Rio Ave (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.6

Farense (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Farense

8 5 14 19 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Rio Ave (home)

For2.2

Farense (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Rio Ave — total shots (home)12.1

Farense — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Rio Ave — on target (home)4.2

Farense — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Farense

Inside the box6.65

Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

M. Belloumi

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target67%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Darío Poveda

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target5%

Tómané

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave xG (home)1.07

Farense xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

47.71% Possession 40.79%

Team Comparison Rio Ave vs Farense

79.59% Pass accuracy 71.71%

389.88 Passes per match 293.85

-0.09 Goals prevented 0.28

13.5 Fouls committed 15.21

3.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.09

2.79 Offsides 1.97

17.68 Tackles per match 17.56

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Rio Ave vs Farense prediction analysis

Review Rio Ave vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights